Jelena Ostapenko vs Danielle CollinsAbu Dhabi Round of 32

Abu Dhabi · WTA · Round of 32
#31WTA
1855ELO
1794Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 6 February 2023
hard
#343WTA
1844ELO
1772Hard ELO
32 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLWWLL
Ostapenko J.
7-5 1-6 7-5
Collins D.
Ostapenko J.
7172
Collins D.
5651

Jelena Ostapenko defeated Danielle Collins 7-5 1-6 7-5 in the Abu Dhabi round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Jelena Ostapenko came in ranked #31. Jelena Ostapenko narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-31CharlestonR16clayDanielle Collins7-5 6-3
2023-09-11San DiegoR16hardDanielle Collins2-6 6-3 6-4
2018-03-19MiamiSFhardJelena Ostapenko7-6(1) 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Ostapenko J.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Collins D.

Collins D.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Ostapenko J.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Ostapenko J.Collins D.
10
Serve
45
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
47%
Service points won·Even
57%
60%
Return points won·Even
45%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
59%
Aces / match·Even
3.9
3.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
5.3
4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (163 vs 126). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
88
88
Break points saved·Clear edge
79
95
Break points won·Even
100
99
Deciding sets·Slight edge
96
88
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
87
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.1+22 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Hard Elo 1772
4.8Overall Elo 1855
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1844
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.7
Surface form
5.4
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
92

Ostapenko J.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
22°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 62%