Belinda Bencic vs Daria KasatkinaAdelaide 2 Final

Adelaide 2 · WTA · Final
#11WTA
1989ELO
1952Hard ELO
$1.8MYTD
$17MCAREER
29 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 9 January 2023
hard
#65WTA
1795ELO
1757Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
Bencic B.
6-0 6-2
Kasatkina D.
Bencic B.
662
Kasatkina D.
020

Belinda Bencic defeated Daria Kasatkina 6-0 6-2 in the Adelaide 2 final on hard. The result followed the form book — Belinda Bencic came in ranked #11. Belinda Bencic narrowed the head-to-head to 3–3.

Key context

Head to head

23
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-05-31Roland GarrosR64clayDaria Kasatkina6-2 6-2
2020-01-13AdelaideR32hardBelinda Bencic6-4 6-4
2017-01-30St. PetersburgR32hardDaria Kasatkina6-2 7-5
2016-10-17MoscowR32hardDaria Kasatkina6-4 6-1
2016-02-08St. PetersburgSFhardBelinda Bencic6-4 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Bencic B.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Kasatkina D.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Bencic B.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bencic B.Kasatkina D.
57
Serve
0
55
Return
95

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
70%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
60%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
41%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
54%
Return points won·Even
44%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.5
1.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.4
4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (117 vs 184). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
89
78
Break points saved·Clear edge
95
80
Break points won·Slight edge
94
100
Deciding sets·Slight edge
98
93
Tiebreaks·Dominant
98
47

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.3+195 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.7Hard Elo 1757
7.2Overall Elo 1989
ELO gap
2.8Overall Elo 1795
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.2
Surface form
3.6
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.7
Minutes 14d
8.5
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
72
84

Bencic B.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 62 games (7d) · Kasatkina D.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast