Daria Kasatkina vs Belinda BencicMoscow Round of 32

Moscow · WTA · Round of 32
#65WTA
1795ELO
1757Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 17 October 2016
hard
#11WTA
1989ELO
1952Hard ELO
$1.8MYTD
$17MCAREER
29 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLL
Kasatkina D.
6-4 6-1
Bencic B.
Kasatkina D.
662
Bencic B.
410

Daria Kasatkina defeated Belinda Bencic 6-4 6-1 in the Moscow round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Belinda Bencic came in ranked #11, leading the head-to-head 3–2. Daria Kasatkina narrowed the head-to-head to 3–3.

Key context

Head to head

23
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-01-09Adelaide 2FhardBelinda Bencic6-0 6-2
2021-05-31Roland GarrosR64clayDaria Kasatkina6-2 6-2
2020-01-13AdelaideR32hardBelinda Bencic6-4 6-4
2017-01-30St. PetersburgR32hardDaria Kasatkina6-2 7-5
2016-02-08St. PetersburgSFhardBelinda Bencic6-4 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Kasatkina D.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Bencic B.

Bencic B.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kasatkina D.Bencic B.
0
Serve
57
95
Return
55

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
70%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
60%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
41%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
54%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
48%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.4
2.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.7
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
88
Break points saved·Clear edge
80
95
Break points won·Slight edge
100
94
Deciding sets·Slight edge
93
98
Tiebreaks·Dominant
47
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
90
82

Kasatkina D.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Bencic B.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast