Madison Keys vs Katie SwanUnited Cup Round Robin

United Cup · WTA · Round Robin
#22WTA
1987ELO
1920Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$24MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 2 January 2023
hard
#196WTA
1554ELO
1477Hard ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLWW
Keys M.
2-6 6-3 6-4
Swan K.
Keys M.
2662
Swan K.
6341

Madison Keys defeated Katie Swan 2-6 6-3 6-4 in the United Cup round robin on hard. The result followed the form book — Madison Keys came in ranked #22, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Madison Keys extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-02WimbledonR64grassMadison Keys1-6 4-6
2021-06-28WimbledonR128grassMadison Keys6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Keys M.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Swan K.

Swan K.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Keys M.

Serve advantage — Swan K.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Keys M.Swan K.
36
Serve
29
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
46%
Service points won·Even
60%
60%
Return points won·Even
44%
48%
Break points saved·Even
60%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.0
3.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.7
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (153 vs 89). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
94
49
Break points saved·Dominant
96
56
Break points won·Slight edge
90
95
Deciding sets·Dominant
97
46
Tiebreaks·
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 54 days (−0.7)
3.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 112 days (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
10.0+443 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1477
10.0Overall Elo 1987
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1554
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.4
Surface form
6.2
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
82
96

Keys M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Swan K.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast