Roberto Bautista Agut vs Andrey RublevAdelaide 1 Round of 32

Adelaide 1 · ATP · Round of 32
#180ATP
1700ELO
1668Hard ELO
$430kYTD
$20MCAREER
38 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 2 January 2023
hard
#16ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
Bautista Agut R.
4-6 6-3 6-4
Rublev A.
Bautista Agut R.
4662
Rublev A.
6341

Roberto Bautista Agut defeated Andrey Rublev 4-6 6-3 6-4 in the Adelaide 1 round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Andrey Rublev came in ranked #16, leading the head-to-head 5–3. Roberto Bautista Agut narrowed the head-to-head to 5–4.

Key context

Head to head

35
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-06-19HalleSFgrassAndrey Rublev6-3 6-4
2021-05-10Rome MastersR16clayAndrey Rublev6-4 6-4
2021-04-12Monte Carlo MastersR16clayAndrey Rublev7-6(2) 5-7 6-3
2021-03-08DohaSFhardRoberto Bautista Agut6-3 6-3
2020-09-21HamburgQFclayAndrey Rublev6-2 7-5
2019-11-19Davis Cup Finals RR: ESP vs RUSRRhardAndrey Rublev3-6 6-3 7-6(0)
2018-10-08Shanghai MastersR64hardRoberto Bautista Agut6-3 6-4
2015-10-26ValenciaR16hardRoberto Bautista Agut6-2 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Bautista Agut R.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Rublev A.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Bautista Agut R.

Serve advantage — Rublev A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bautista Agut R.Rublev A.
23
Serve
55
28
Return
52

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Even
63%
67%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.9
7.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.0
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (166 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
85
89
Break points saved·Even
98
100
Break points won·Even
75
72
Deciding sets·Slight edge
87
97
Tiebreaks·Even
93
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 40 days (−0.7)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 49 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
3.0Hard Elo 1668
Surface ELO
7.0+180 Hard Elo edge
3.0Overall Elo 1700
ELO gap
7.0Overall Elo 1902
10.0
H2H
0.0
4.4
Surface form
5.5
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
98
95

Bautista Agut R.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Rublev A.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast