Mikael Ymer vs Tommy PaulStockholm Round of 16

Stockholm · ATP · Round of 16
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 17 October 2022
hard
#25ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Ymer M.
6-2 6-3
Paul T.
Ymer M.
662
Paul T.
230

Mikael Ymer defeated Tommy Paul 6-2 6-3 in the Stockholm round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Tommy Paul came in leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending the title, but Mikael Ymer had arrived on a 4-match winning run. Mikael Ymer claimed a first win over Tommy Paul in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-10-18MoscowR32hardTommy Paul7-6(7) 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Ymer M.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Paul T.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Ymer M.

Serve advantage — Paul T.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Ymer M.Paul T.
Serve
71
Return
54

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
65%
Return points won·Even
41%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.4
6.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.2
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (107 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
71
93
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
99
Break points won·Clear edge
71
87
Deciding sets·Even
94
98
Tiebreaks·Dominant
29
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
0.0
H2H
10.0
7.6
Surface form
5.9
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3.6
Minutes 14d
7.2
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
5.9
Country comfort
Context
5.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
86

Paul T.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
12°COvercast
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 65%