Tommy Paul vs Mikael YmerMoscow Round of 32

Moscow · ATP · Round of 32
#24ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 18 October 2021
hard
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWWLL
Paul T.
7-6 7-5
Ymer M.
Paul T.
7972
Ymer M.
6750

Tommy Paul defeated Mikael Ymer 7-6 7-5 in the Moscow round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Mikael Ymer came in leading the head-to-head 1–0, but Tommy Paul had arrived on a 3-match winning run. Tommy Paul claimed a first win over Mikael Ymer in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-10-17StockholmR16hardMikael Ymer6-2 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Paul T.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Ymer M.

Ymer M.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Serve advantage — Paul T.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Paul T.Ymer M.
71
Serve
54
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
65%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
54%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
59%
Return points won·Even
39%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.1
2.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.1
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 158). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
93
71
Break points saved·Slight edge
99
90
Break points won·Clear edge
87
71
Deciding sets·Even
98
94
Tiebreaks·Dominant
96
29

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.5
Surface form
6.6
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.7
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
88

Paul T.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast