Daria Kasatkina vs Leylah FernandezSan Diego Round of 32

San Diego · WTA · Round of 32
#63WTA
1795ELO
1757Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 10 October 2022
hard
#25WTA
1805ELO
1785Hard ELO
$787kYTD
$8.1MCAREER
23 yrs · 168 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
Kasatkina D.
6-2 6-2
Fernandez L.
Kasatkina D.
662
Fernandez L.
220

Daria Kasatkina defeated Leylah Fernandez 6-2 6-2 in the San Diego round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Leylah Fernandez came in ranked #25. Daria Kasatkina extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-06-24EastbourneFgrassDaria Kasatkina6-3 6-4
2022-05-09RomeR32clayDaria Kasatkina4-6 6-3 7-6(2)

Serve vs return

This season
Kasatkina D.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Fernandez L.

Fernandez L.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kasatkina D.Fernandez L.
0
Serve
60
95
Return
27

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
70%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
60%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
41%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
54%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
48%
43%
Break points saved·Even
54%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.4
2.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.7
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
87
Break points saved·Clear edge
80
95
Break points won·Slight edge
100
95
Deciding sets·Even
93
90
Tiebreaks·Dominant
47
75

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 56 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
4.3Hard Elo 1757
Surface ELO
5.7+27 Hard Elo edge
4.2Overall Elo 1795
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1805
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.1
Surface form
5.5
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
8.1
Minutes 14d
8.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
92
99

Kasatkina D.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Fernandez L.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast