Daria Kasatkina vs Leylah FernandezRome Round of 32

Rome · WTA · Round of 32
#65WTA
1795ELO
1770Clay ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 9 May 2022
clay
#24WTA
1805ELO
1702Clay ELO
$787kYTD
$8.1MCAREER
23 yrs · 168 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
Kasatkina D.
4-6 6-3 7-6
Fernandez L.
Kasatkina D.
46772
Fernandez L.
63621

Daria Kasatkina defeated Leylah Fernandez 4-6 6-3 7-6 in the Rome round of 32 on clay. The result followed the form book — Daria Kasatkina came in leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 64. Daria Kasatkina extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-06-24EastbourneFgrassDaria Kasatkina6-3 6-4
2022-10-10San DiegoR32hardDaria Kasatkina6-2 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Kasatkina D.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Fernandez L.

Fernandez L.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Kasatkina D.Fernandez L.
Serve
47
Return
20

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
70%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
60%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
41%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
54%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
48%
43%
Break points saved·Even
54%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.4
2.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.7
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
87
Break points saved·Clear edge
80
95
Break points won·Slight edge
100
95
Deciding sets·Even
93
90
Tiebreaks·Dominant
47
75

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.1+68 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Clay Elo 1702
4.2Overall Elo 1795
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1805
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.0
Surface form
4.5
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Minutes 14d
7.9
0.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
90
98

Kasatkina D.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Fernandez L.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 45%

Draw