Matteo Arnaldi vs Ugo HumbertSaint Tropez CH Semi-final

Saint Tropez CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#34ATP
1830ELO
1732Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 10 October 2022
hard
#29ATP
1868ELO
1843Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$12MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWWW
Arnaldi M.
6-4 6-3
Humbert U.
Arnaldi M.
662
Humbert U.
430

Matteo Arnaldi defeated Ugo Humbert 6-4 6-3 in the Saint Tropez CH semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Ugo Humbert came in ranked #29. Matteo Arnaldi extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-06-17Queen's ClubR32grassMatteo Arnaldi3-6 6-1 7-6(6)

Serve vs return

This season
Arnaldi M.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Humbert U.

Humbert U.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Arnaldi M.

Serve advantage — Humbert U.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Arnaldi M.Humbert U.
23
Serve
64
22
Return
15

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
53%
Service points won·Even
62%
66%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Even
63%
65%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.8
6.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.3
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
70
Break points saved·Even
97
99
Break points won·Clear edge
51
37
Deciding sets·Slight edge
86
78
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
99
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.1Hard Elo 1732
Surface ELO
6.9+111 Hard Elo edge
3.5Overall Elo 1830
ELO gap
6.5Overall Elo 1868
5.0
H2H
5.0
1.1
Surface form
7.9
Fatigue & Travel
5.2
Minutes 14d
6.3
4.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
97
96

Arnaldi M.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Humbert U.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast