Matteo Arnaldi vs Ugo HumbertQueen's Club Round of 32

Queen's Club · ATP · Round of 32
#35ATP
1830ELO
1630Grass ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 17 June 2024
grass
#30ATP
1868ELO
1769Grass ELO
$1.1MYTD
$12MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWWW
Arnaldi M.
3-6 6-1 7-6
Humbert U.
Arnaldi M.
36782
Humbert U.
61661

Matteo Arnaldi defeated Ugo Humbert 3-6 6-1 7-6 in the Queen's Club round of 32 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Ugo Humbert came in ranked #30, defending last year's round of 32, but Matteo Arnaldi had arrived on a 3-match winning run.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Arnaldi M.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Humbert U.

Humbert U.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Arnaldi M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
67%
Return points won·Even
37%
36%
Break points saved·Even
61%
65%
Aces / match·Even
6.4
7.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.4
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (117 vs 128). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
70
Break points saved·Even
97
99
Break points won·Clear edge
51
37
Deciding sets·Slight edge
86
78
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
99
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.2Grass Elo 1630
Surface ELO
6.8+138 Grass Elo edge
3.5Overall Elo 1830
ELO gap
6.5Overall Elo 1868
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.6
Surface form
5.4
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
6.9
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
3.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
95
92

Arnaldi M.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Humbert U.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
19°CMainly clear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 48%