Marco Cecchinato vs Luca Van AsscheLisbon CH Final

Lisbon CH · CHALLENGER · Final
#175ATP
1576ELO
1546Clay ELO
$149kYTD
$5.3MCAREER
33 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 26 September 2022
clay
#86ATP
1701ELO
1639Clay ELO
$411kYTD
$2.6MCAREER
22 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWWWLWL
Cecchinato M.
6-3 6-3
Van Assche L.
Cecchinato M.
662
Van Assche L.
330

Marco Cecchinato defeated Luca Van Assche 6-3 6-3 in the Lisbon CH final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Luca Van Assche came in ranked #86, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Marco Cecchinato claimed a first win over Luca Van Assche in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-07-20UmagQ1clayLuca Van Assche6-3 7-6(3)
2023-05-29Roland GarrosR128clayLuca Van Assche6-1 6-1 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Cecchinato M.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Van Assche L.

Van Assche L.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Cecchinato M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
50%
Service points won·Even
61%
61%
Return points won·Even
39%
40%
Break points saved·Even
60%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.5
3.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.8
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
42
68
Break points saved·Even
89
91
Break points won·Dominant
20
61
Deciding sets·Dominant
36
81
Tiebreaks·Dominant
79
51

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.9Clay Elo 1546
Surface ELO
6.1+92 Clay Elo edge
3.1Overall Elo 1576
ELO gap
6.9Overall Elo 1701
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.0
Surface form
4.9
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.2
Minutes 14d
5.3
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
69
77

Cecchinato M.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d) · Van Assche L.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast