Sebastian Korda vs Lorenzo MusettiMetz Round of 16

Metz · ATP · Round of 16
#63ATP
1809ELO
1765Hard ELO
$471kYTD
$9.0MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 19 September 2022
hard
#14ATP
1869ELO
1804Hard ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Korda S.
6-3 7-6
Musetti L.
Korda S.
6782
Musetti L.
3660

Sebastian Korda defeated Lorenzo Musetti 6-3 7-6 in the Metz round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Lorenzo Musetti came in ranked #14, leading the head-to-head 3–1. Sebastian Korda narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

13
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-11-02AthensSFhardLorenzo Musetti6-0 5-7 7-5
2022-05-02Madrid MastersR32clayLorenzo Musetti6-4 6-3
2021-11-08NextGen FinalsRRhardSebastian Korda4-2 4-3(4) 4-2
2021-05-17LyonR16clayLorenzo Musetti6-3 1-6 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Korda S.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Musetti L.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Korda S.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Korda S.Musetti L.
61
Serve
54
58
Return
62

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
53%
Service points won·Even
66%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Even
62%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.1
4.1
Double faults / match·Even
2.2
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (198 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
87
89
Break points saved·Even
98
98
Break points won·Slight edge
73
82
Deciding sets·Even
96
99
Tiebreaks·Even
94
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.7Hard Elo 1765
Surface ELO
5.3+39 Hard Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1809
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1869
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.5
Surface form
5.2
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast