Sebastian Korda vs Lorenzo MusettiNextGen Finals Round Robin

NextGen Finals · ATP · Round Robin
#63ATP
1809ELO
1765Hard ELO
$471kYTD
$9.0MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWW
3 — 0
Sets
Monday, 8 November 2021
hard
#15ATP
1869ELO
1804Hard ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Korda S.
4-2 4-3 4-2
Musetti L.
Korda S.
44743
Musetti L.
23420

Sebastian Korda defeated Lorenzo Musetti 4-2 4-3 4-2 in the NextGen Finals round robin on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Lorenzo Musetti came in ranked #15, leading the head-to-head 3–1. Sebastian Korda narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Sebastian Korda edged a tight contest from start to finish — 4–2 4–3 4–2.

Head to head

13
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-11-02AthensSFhardLorenzo Musetti6-0 5-7 7-5
2022-09-19MetzR16hardSebastian Korda6-3 7-6(6)
2022-05-02Madrid MastersR32clayLorenzo Musetti6-4 6-3
2021-05-17LyonR16clayLorenzo Musetti6-3 1-6 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Korda S.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Musetti L.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Korda S.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Korda S.Musetti L.
61
Serve
54
58
Return
62

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
53%
Service points won·Even
66%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Even
62%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.1
4.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (198 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
87
89
Break points saved·Even
98
98
Break points won·Slight edge
73
82
Deciding sets·Even
96
99
Tiebreaks·Even
94
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.7Hard Elo 1765
Surface ELO
5.3+39 Hard Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1809
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1869
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.1
Surface form
4.4
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.5
Minutes 14d
3.7
4.0
3-set count
0.0
6.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast