Mariano Navone vs Camilo Ugo CarabelliVilla Maria CH Round of 16

Villa Maria CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#48ATP
1822ELO
1800Clay ELO
$722kYTD
$3.1MCAREER
25 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 19 September 2022
clay
#58ATP
1759ELO
1741Clay ELO
$653kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLW
Navone M.
6-1 7-6
Ugo Carabelli C.
Navone M.
6772
Ugo Carabelli C.
1620

Mariano Navone defeated Camilo Ugo Carabelli 6-1 7-6 in the Villa Maria CH round of 16 on clay. The result followed the form book — Mariano Navone came in ranked #48. Mariano Navone claimed a first win over Camilo Ugo Carabelli in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Mariano Navone came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 7–6.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-09Buenos AiresR16clayCamilo Ugo Carabelli6-2 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Navone M.serving61% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Ugo Carabelli C.

Ugo Carabelli C.serving59% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Navone M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Navone M.Ugo Carabelli C.
0
Serve
24
100
Return
28

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
49%
Service points won·Even
59%
60%
Return points won·Even
43%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.7
2.7
Double faults / match·Even
2.5
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
75
78
Break points saved·Even
86
90
Break points won·Dominant
90
62
Deciding sets·Clear edge
77
96
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
60
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
5.1+60 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Clay Elo 1741
5.2Overall Elo 1822
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1759
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.1
Surface form
7.1
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
96
100

Navone M.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Ugo Carabelli C.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast