Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Mariano NavoneBuenos Aires Round of 16

Buenos Aires · ATP · Round of 16
#59ATP
1759ELO
1741Clay ELO
$653kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 9 February 2026
clay
#38ATP
1822ELO
1800Clay ELO
$722kYTD
$3.1MCAREER
25 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWWWL
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-2 7-5
Navone M.
Ugo Carabelli C.
672
Navone M.
250

Camilo Ugo Carabelli defeated Mariano Navone 6-2 7-5 in the Buenos Aires round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Mariano Navone came in ranked #38, defending last year's quarter-final, but Camilo Ugo Carabelli had arrived on a 10-match winning run.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Ugo Carabelli C.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Navone M.

Navone M.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Ugo Carabelli C.

Serve advantage — Navone M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Ugo Carabelli C.Navone M.
24
Serve
0
36
Return
95

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
71%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
49%
Service points won·Even
61%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.8
1.3
Double faults / match·Even
2.5
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
78
75
Break points saved·Even
90
86
Break points won·Dominant
62
90
Deciding sets·Clear edge
96
77
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
72
60

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.9Clay Elo 1741
Surface ELO
5.1+60 Clay Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 1759
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1822
10.0No prior meetings
H2H
0.0
10.0
Surface form
6.9
10.010-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
4.5
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
4.0
7.6
Country comfort
8.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
97
93

Ugo Carabelli C.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Navone M.: 10 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
29°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 39%