Pablo Carreno Busta vs Alexander Bublik — US Open Round of 64

US Open · ATP · Round of 64
Pablo Carreno Busta
ESP
Pablo Carreno Busta
#71ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
3 — 1
Sets
Monday, 29 August 2022
hard
Alexander Bublik
KAZ
Alexander Bublik
#11ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
Carreno Busta P.
4-6 6-4 6-3 7-6
Bublik A.
Carreno Busta P.
466773
Bublik A.
643651

Pablo Carreno Busta defeated Alexander Bublik 4-6 6-4 6-3 7-6 in the US Open round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alexander Bublik came in ranked #11, defending last year's round of 64. Pablo Carreno Busta extended the head-to-head to 4–0.

Key context

Head to head

3–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-04-11Monte Carlo MastersR32clayPablo Carreno Busta4-6 7-6(3) 4-3 RET
2019-09-23ChengduFhardPablo Carreno Busta6-7(5) 6-4 7-6(3)
2016-10-17MoscowQFhardPablo Carreno Busta6-4 2-6 7-6(1)
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Carreno Busta P.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Bublik A.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Carreno Busta P.Bublik A.
21
Serve
65
44
Return
25

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Carreno Busta P.Bublik A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
77%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
46%
Service points won·Even
64%
65%
Return points won·Even
39%
35%
Break points saved·Even
60%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.6
11.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.9
5.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (183 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Carreno Busta P.Bublik A.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
88
Break points saved·Even
97
99
Break points won·Slight edge
61
67
Deciding sets·Clear edge
80
99
Tiebreaks·Even
95
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Carreno Busta P.Bublik A.
Freshness·Clear edge
89
66

Carreno Busta P.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Bublik A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 88 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
28°CDrizzle
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 67%

Draw

Final
Alcaraz C.
Ruud C.
6-42-67-616-3
Semi-finals
Ruud C.
Khachanov K.
7-656-25-76-2
Alcaraz C.
Tiafoe F.
6-766-36-16-756-3
Quarter-finals
Khachanov K.
Kyrgios N.
7-54-67-56-736-4
Ruud C.
Berrettini M.
6-16-47-64
Tiafoe F.
Rublev A.
7-637-606-4
Alcaraz C.
Sinner J.
6-36-776-707-56-3
R16
Kyrgios N.
Medvedev D.
7-6113-66-36-2
Tiafoe F.
Nadal R.
6-44-66-46-3
Rublev A.
Norrie C.
6-46-46-4
Alcaraz C.
Cilic M.
6-43-66-44-66-3
Khachanov K.
Carreno Busta P.
4-66-36-14-66-3
Berrettini M.
Davidovich Fokina A.
3-67-626-34-66-2
Ruud C.
Moutet C.
6-16-26-746-2
Sinner J.
Ivashka I.
6-15-76-24-66-3
R32
Khachanov K.
Draper J.
6-34-66-5
Sinner J.
Nakashima B.
3-66-46-16-2
Ivashka I.
Musetti L.
6-43-66-26-3
Ruud C.
Paul T.
7-636-757-625-76-0
Berrettini M.
Murray A.
6-46-46-716-3
Davidovich Fokina A.
Galan D.
6-45-76-46-4
Nadal R.
Gasquet R.
6-06-17-5
Tiafoe F.
Schwartzman D.
7-676-46-4
Rublev A.
Shapovalov D.
6-42-66-736-47-67
Norrie C.
Rune H.
7-56-46-1
Carreno Busta P.
De Minaur A.
6-16-13-67-65
Kyrgios N.
Wolf J.
6-46-26-3
Medvedev D.
Wu Y.
6-46-26-2
Alcaraz C.
Brooksby J.
6-36-36-3
Cilic M.
Evans D.
7-6116-736-27-5
Moutet C.
Cachin P.
6-34-66-27-5
R64
Berrettini M.
Grenier H.
2-66-17-647-67
Sinner J.
Eubanks C.
6-47-686-2
Nakashima B.
Dimitrov G.
7-657-56-3
Brooksby J.
Coric B.
6-47-6106-1
Evans D.
Duckworth J.
6-36-24-66-4
Cilic M.
Ramos A.
6-37-646-3
Musetti L.
Brouwer G.
6-716-36-46-2
Ivashka I.
Hurkacz H.
6-44-67-656-3
Ruud C.
Van Rijthoven T.
6-746-46-46-4
Paul T.
Korda S.
6-03-64-66-36-4
Moutet C.
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-41-66-26-4
Rune H.
Isner J.
W/O
Schwartzman D.
Popyrin A.
7-637-57-66
Rublev A.
Kwon S.
6-36-06-4
Shapovalov D.
Carballes Baena R.
6-44-66-36-2
Norrie C.
Sousa J.
6-46-47-64
Alcaraz C.
Coria F.
6-26-17-5
Nadal R.
Fognini F.
2-66-46-26-1
Gasquet R.
Kecmanovic M.
6-26-44-66-4
Tiafoe F.
Kubler J.
7-637-57-62
Murray A.
Nava E.
5-76-36-16-0
Davidovich Fokina A.
Fucsovics M.
7-635-73-66-07-63
Galan D.
Thompson J.
6-32-63-66-46-3
Draper J.
Auger Aliassime F.
6-46-46-4
Khachanov K.
Monteiro T.
6-36-35-76-4
De Minaur A.
Garin C.
6-36-04-66-2
Carreno Busta P.
Bublik A.
4-66-46-37-65
Wolf J.
Tabilo A.
4-67-56-46-3
Kyrgios N.
Bonzi B.
7-636-44-66-4
Wu Y.
Borges N.
6-737-644-66-46-4
Medvedev D.
Rinderknech A.
6-27-56-3
Cachin P.
Holt B.
1-62-66-17-617-66
R128
Coria F.
Griekspoor T.
7-56-46-3
Coric B.
Couacaud E.
6-27-653-64-67-5
Van De Zandschulp B.
Machac T.
3-67-636-13-67-5
Cachin P.
Bedene A.
6-46-35-71-67-66
Holt B.
Fritz T.
6-737-616-36-4
Nava E.
Millman J.
7-674-67-641-66-1
Schwartzman D.
Sock J.
3-65-76-01-0
Alcaraz C.
Baez S.
7-57-52-0
Brooksby J.
Lajovic D.
6-26-03-0
Moutet C.
Wawrinka S.
6-47-67
Fucsovics M.
Cressy M.
6-747-55-1
Monteiro T.
Molcan A.
6-44-66-46-1
Davidovich Fokina A.
Nishioka Y.
6-37-56-3
Thompson J.
Sonego L.
2-61-66-26-46-4
Eubanks C.
Martinez P.
7-56-37-63
Nakashima B.
Kotov P.
7-646-26-2
Dimitrov G.
Johnson S.
6-36-26-2
Musetti L.
Goffin D.
3-67-56-43-67-69
Brouwer G.
Mannarino A.
6-36-46-4
Rublev A.
Djere L.
7-656-33-64-66-4
Kwon S.
Verdasco F.
6-26-746-36-3
Carballes Baena R.
Munar J.
6-16-34-66-2
Shapovalov D.
Huesler M.
2-66-46-43-66-1
Rune H.
Gojowczyk P.
6-26-47-65
Isner J.
Delbonis F.
6-36-17-5
Nadal R.
Hijikata R.
4-66-26-36-3
Fognini F.
Karatsev A.
1-65-76-46-16-4
Gasquet R.
Daniel T.
6-46-716-26-2
Kecmanovic M.
Tien L.
3-66-16-36-3
Galan D.
Tsitsipas S.
6-06-13-67-5
Auger Aliassime F.
Ritschard A.
6-36-43-66-3
Draper J.
Ruusuvuori E.
6-46-36-3
Khachanov K.
Kudla D.
3-66-16-26-2
De Minaur A.
Krajinovic F.
7-56-26-3
Garin C.
Lehecka J.
3-67-637-56-1
Bublik A.
Gaston H.
6-46-46-4
Carreno Busta P.
Thiem D.
7-56-15-76-3
Wolf J.
Bautista Agut R.
6-46-46-4
Tabilo A.
Majchrzak K.
6-16-46-736-1
Bonzi B.
Humbert U.
7-616-15-73-66-2
Kyrgios N.
Kokkinakis T.
6-36-47-64
Wu Y.
Basilashvili N.
6-36-46-0
Borges N.
Shelton B.
7-663-67-656-786-3
Rinderknech A.
Halys Q.
4-67-646-36-2
Medvedev D.
Kozlov S.
6-26-46-0
Tiafoe F.
Giron M.
7-606-46-3
Kubler J.
Ymer M.
5-76-46-26-4
Popyrin A.
Tseng C.
6-37-657-63
Sousa J.
Mcdonald M.
1-67-647-646-3
Norrie C.
Paire B.
6-07-616-0
Evans D.
Vesely J.
6-46-16-1
Duckworth J.
Oconnell C.
4-67-606-26-3
Ramos A.
Gombos N.
6-36-47-5
Cilic M.
Marterer M.
6-36-27-5
Sinner J.
Altmaier D.
5-76-26-13-66-1
Ivashka I.
Querrey S.
4-66-47-686-3
Hurkacz H.
Otte O.
6-46-26-4
Ruud C.
Edmund K.
6-37-56-2
Van Rijthoven T.
Zhang Z.
3-66-747-696-16-4
Korda S.
Bagnis F.
5-77-637-56-1
Paul T.
Zapata Miralles B.
4-66-32-66-07-5
Berrettini M.
Jarry N.
6-26-36-3
Grenier H.
Etcheverry T.
4-66-26-36-4
Murray A.
Cerundolo F.
7-56-36-3