Marta Kostyuk vs Jasmine PaoliniCincinnati Qualifying Round 1

Cincinnati · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
#11WTA
2057ELO
1968Hard ELO
$2.3MYTD
$9.1MCAREER
24 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWW
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 15 August 2022
hard
#15WTA
1905ELO
1873Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
Kostyuk M.
6-2 6-2
Paolini J.
Kostyuk M.
662
Paolini J.
22

Marta Kostyuk defeated Jasmine Paolini 6-2 6-2 in the Cincinnati qualifying round 1 on hard. The result followed the form book — Marta Kostyuk came in ranked #11. Marta Kostyuk narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-08WimbledonQFgrassMarta Kostyuk6-3 6-2
2023-08-14CincinnatiR64hardJasmine Paolini6-2 6-1
2022-10-10Cluj NapocaR32hardJasmine Paolini5-7 6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Kostyuk M.serving54% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Paolini J.serving54% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Kostyuk M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kostyuk M.Paolini J.
53
Serve
31
57
Return
55

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
61%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
44%
49%
Service points won·Even
57%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Even
56%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.1
1.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.8
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
92
89
Break points saved·Slight edge
93
87
Break points won·Even
98
99
Deciding sets·Even
98
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
86
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
77
82

Kostyuk M.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d) · Paolini J.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast