Peyton Stearns vs Varvara GrachevaCincinnati Qualifying Round 1

Cincinnati · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
#60WTA
1804ELO
1755Hard ELO
$476kYTD
$3.7MCAREER
24 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLL
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 15 August 2022
hard
#95WTA
1810ELO
1763Hard ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWLW
Stearns P.
6-2 6-2
Gracheva V.
Stearns P.
662
Gracheva V.
22

Peyton Stearns defeated Varvara Gracheva 6-2 6-2 in the Cincinnati qualifying round 1 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Varvara Gracheva came in leading the head-to-head 2–1. Peyton Stearns narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-24AustinR32hardVarvara Gracheva6-2 6-3
2025-02-03Cluj-NapocaR32hardPeyton Stearns2-6 6-2 6-2
2024-01-08HobartR32hardVarvara Gracheva7-6(3) 3-6 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Stearns P.serving56% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Gracheva V.

Gracheva V.serving54% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Stearns P.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Stearns P.Gracheva V.
34
Serve
3
36
Return
27

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
47%
Service points won·Even
57%
56%
Return points won·Even
44%
44%
Break points saved·Even
56%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.6
2.0
Double faults / match·Even
3.5
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (159 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
73
74
Break points saved·Clear edge
90
76
Break points won·Slight edge
98
87
Deciding sets·Dominant
51
90
Tiebreaks·Dominant
90
65

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Stearns P.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast