Varvara Gracheva vs Peyton StearnsAustin Round of 32

Austin · WTA · Round of 32
#95WTA
1810ELO
1763Hard ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 February 2025
hard
#60WTA
1804ELO
1755Hard ELO
$476kYTD
$3.7MCAREER
24 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLL
Gracheva V.
6-2 6-3
Stearns P.
Gracheva V.
662
Stearns P.
230

Varvara Gracheva defeated Peyton Stearns 6-2 6-3 in the Austin round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Peyton Stearns came in ranked #60, defending last year's round of 32. Varvara Gracheva extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-03Cluj-NapocaR32hardPeyton Stearns2-6 6-2 6-2
2024-01-08HobartR32hardVarvara Gracheva7-6(3) 3-6 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Gracheva V.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Stearns P.

Stearns P.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Gracheva V.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Gracheva V.Stearns P.
3
Serve
34
27
Return
37

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
45%
Service points won·Even
56%
57%
Return points won·Even
44%
43%
Break points saved·Even
52%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.6
3.4
Double faults / match·Even
3.9
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (70 vs 58). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
74
73
Break points saved·Clear edge
76
90
Break points won·Slight edge
87
98
Deciding sets·Dominant
90
51
Tiebreaks·Dominant
65
90

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.1+8 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Hard Elo 1755
5.1Overall Elo 1810
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1804
10.0
H2H
0.0
4.2
Surface form
5.9
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
6.6
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
97

Stearns P.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast