Caroline Garcia vs Aryna SabalenkaCincinnati Semi-final

Cincinnati · WTA · Semi-final
#772WTA
32 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWLWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 15 August 2022
hard
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Garcia C.
6-2 4-6 6-1
Sabalenka A.
Garcia C.
6462
Sabalenka A.
2611

Caroline Garcia defeated Aryna Sabalenka 6-2 4-6 6-1 in the Cincinnati semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, defending last year's round of 32. Caroline Garcia extended the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Caroline Garcia came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–2 4–6 6–1.

Head to head

22
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-10-31Fort Worth FinalsFhardCaroline Garcia7-6(4) 6-4
2018-10-29ZhuhaiR16hardCaroline Garcia6-4 6-4
2018-10-01BeijingR16hardAryna Sabalenka5-7 7-6(3) 6-0
2018-08-13CincinnatiR16hardAryna Sabalenka6-4 3-6 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Garcia C.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Sabalenka A.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Garcia C.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Garcia C.Sabalenka A.
Serve
96
Return
39

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
51%
Service points won·Even
62%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
39%
45%
Break points saved·Even
62%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.8
4.6
Double faults / match·Even
3.1
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (176 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
72
98
Break points saved·Slight edge
91
98
Break points won·Dominant
50
100
Deciding sets·Even
94
97
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
82
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.3
Surface form
4.1
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.7
Minutes 14d
4.0
7.0
3-set count
0.0
7.0
Prev. match
4.0
4.9
Country comfort
5.5
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
90

Sabalenka A.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°CMainly clear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 70%

Draw

Semi-finals
Kvitova P.
Keys M.
6-766-46-3
Garcia C.
Sabalenka A.[6]
6-24-66-1