Aryna Sabalenka vs Caroline GarciaBeijing Round of 16

Beijing · WTA · Round of 16
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 1 October 2018
hard
#772WTA
32 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWLWLL
Sabalenka A.
5-7 7-6 6-0
Garcia C.
Sabalenka A.
57762
Garcia C.
76301

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Caroline Garcia 5-7 7-6 6-0 in the Beijing round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Caroline Garcia came in leading the head-to-head 3–1, defending the title. Aryna Sabalenka narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

13
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-10-31Fort Worth FinalsFhardCaroline Garcia7-6(4) 6-4
2022-08-15CincinnatiSFhardCaroline Garcia6-2 4-6 6-1
2018-10-29ZhuhaiR16hardCaroline Garcia6-4 6-4
2018-08-13CincinnatiR16hardAryna Sabalenka6-4 3-6 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Sabalenka A.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Garcia C.

Garcia C.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sabalenka A.Garcia C.
96
Serve
39
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
49%
Service points won·Even
63%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
45%
39%
Break points saved·Even
63%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.6
6.5
Double faults / match·Even
2.9
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
98
72
Break points saved·Slight edge
98
91
Break points won·Dominant
100
50
Deciding sets·Even
97
94
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
100
82

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
90

Sabalenka A.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 32 km/hHumidity 30%

Draw