Felix Auger Aliassime vs Jannik SinnerCincinnati Masters Round of 16

Cincinnati Masters · ATP · Round of 16
#4ATP
1958ELO
1932Hard ELO
$2.1MYTD
$23MCAREER
25 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 15 August 2022
hard
#1ATP
2320ELO
2263Hard ELO
$6.9MYTD
$65MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
Auger Aliassime F.
2-6 7-6 6-1
Sinner J.
Auger Aliassime F.
27762
Sinner J.
66111

Felix Auger Aliassime defeated Jannik Sinner 2-6 7-6 6-1 in the Cincinnati Masters round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jannik Sinner came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 5–1, defending last year's round of 32. Felix Auger Aliassime narrowed the head-to-head to 5–2.

Key context

Head to head

15
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-05Monte Carlo MastersQFclayJannik Sinner6-3 6-4
2025-11-09Tour FinalsRRhardJannik Sinner7-5 6-1
2025-10-27Paris MastersFhardJannik Sinner6-4 7-6(4)
2025-08-25US OpenSFhardJannik Sinner6-1 3-6 6-3 6-4
2025-08-07Cincinnati MastersQFhardJannik Sinner6-0 6-2
2022-05-02Madrid MastersR16clayFelix Auger Aliassime6-1 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Auger Aliassime F.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Sinner J.

Sinner J.serving94% hold

wins 74% of points on serve vs Auger Aliassime F.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Auger Aliassime F.Sinner J.
74
Serve
100
44
Return
100

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
79%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
58%
Service points won·Even
68%
71%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
74%
Aces / match·Clear edge
9.3
7.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.6
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
84
100
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Dominant
50
100
Deciding sets·Even
99
100
Tiebreaks·Even
99
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
8.3
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.0Hard Elo 1932
Surface ELO
9.0+331 Hard Elo edge
0.7Overall Elo 1958
ELO gap
9.3Overall Elo 2320
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.9
Surface form
6.7
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3.5
Minutes 14d
7.9
7.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
5.5
Country comfort
6.5
Context
7.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
59
59

Auger Aliassime F.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 112 games (7d) · Sinner J.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 95 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°CMainly clear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 70%