Tommy Paul vs Marin CilicCanada Masters Round of 16

Canada Masters · ATP · Round of 16
#24ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 8 August 2022
hard
#88ATP
1800ELO
1762Hard ELO
$776kYTD
$33MCAREER
37 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLLWL
Paul T.
6-4 6-2
Cilic M.
Paul T.
662
Cilic M.
420

Tommy Paul defeated Marin Cilic 6-4 6-2 in the Canada Masters round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Tommy Paul came in ranked #24, defending last year's round of 32. Tommy Paul claimed a first win over Marin Cilic in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-01-10Adelaide 2QFhardMarin Cilic6-4 2-6 6-3
2021-10-18MoscowR16hardMarin Cilic7-5 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Paul T.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Cilic M.

Cilic M.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Paul T.Cilic M.
71
Serve
57
54
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
78%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
67%
Return points won·Even
39%
36%
Break points saved·Even
64%
67%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.0
10.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.1
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 137). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
93
76
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
87
41
Deciding sets·Even
98
94
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
96
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 56 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
6.3+120 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.7Hard Elo 1762
6.4Overall Elo 1949
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 1800
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.5
Surface form
4.8
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.5
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
Surface transition
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
88
98

Paul T.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Cilic M.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
27°CDrizzle
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 72%