Roberto Carballes Baena vs Alex MolcanUmag Round of 16

Umag · ATP · Round of 16
#163ATP
1632ELO
1612Clay ELO
$188kYTD
$6.3MCAREER
33 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 25 July 2022
clay
#101ATP
1742ELO
1712Clay ELO
$295kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
28 yrs · 178 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
Carballes Baena R.
3-6 6-2 6-3
Molcan A.
Carballes Baena R.
3662
Molcan A.
6231

Roberto Carballes Baena defeated Alex Molcan 3-6 6-2 6-3 in the Umag round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Alex Molcan came in ranked #101. Roberto Carballes Baena extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-13MunichQ1clayAlex Molcan0-6 6-3 6-4
2022-05-02Madrid MastersQ1clayRoberto Carballes Baena7-5 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Carballes Baena R.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Molcan A.

Molcan A.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Carballes Baena R.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
61%
61%
Return points won·Even
39%
40%
Break points saved·Even
60%
59%
Aces / match·Even
2.8
2.9
Double faults / match·Even
2.3
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 195). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
61
79
Break points saved·Even
93
90
Break points won·Even
58
61
Deciding sets·Dominant
64
91
Tiebreaks·Dominant
51
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
3.7Clay Elo 1612
Surface ELO
6.3+100 Clay Elo edge
3.6Overall Elo 1632
ELO gap
6.4Overall Elo 1742
10.0
H2H
0.0
5.5
Surface form
6.8
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
2.9
Minutes 14d
5.8
7.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
100
90

Carballes Baena R.: 18 days rest · Molcan A.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast