Roberto Carballes Baena vs Alex Molcan — Madrid Masters Qualifying Round 1

Madrid Masters · ATP · Qualifying Round 1
Roberto Carballes Baena
ESP
Roberto Carballes Baena
#165ATP
1632ELO
1612Clay ELO
$188kYTD
$6.3MCAREER
33 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 2 May 2022
clay
Alex Molcan
SVK2
Alex Molcan
#101ATP
1742ELO
1712Clay ELO
$295kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
28 yrs · 178 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
Carballes Baena R.
7-5 6-4
Molcan A.
Carballes Baena R.
762
Molcan A.
540

Roberto Carballes Baena defeated Alex Molcan 7-5 6-4 in the Madrid Masters qualifying round 1 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Alex Molcan came in ranked #101. Roberto Carballes Baena extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

1–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-13MunichQ1clayAlex Molcan0-6 6-3 6-4
2022-07-25UmagR16clayRoberto Carballes Baena3-6 6-2 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Carballes Baena R.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Molcan A.

Molcan A.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Carballes Baena R.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Carballes Baena R.Molcan A.
1st serve in·Even
64%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
61%
61%
Return points won·Even
39%
40%
Break points saved·Even
60%
58%
Aces / match·Even
2.8
2.9
Double faults / match·Even
2.3
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 196). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Carballes Baena R.Molcan A.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
61
79
Break points saved·Even
93
90
Break points won·Even
58
61
Deciding sets·Dominant
64
91
Tiebreaks·Dominant
50
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Carballes Baena R.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Molcan A.
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.7Clay Elo 1612
Surface ELO
6.3+100 Clay Elo edge
3.6Overall Elo 1632
ELO gap
6.4Overall Elo 1742
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.5
Surface form
6.9
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.1
Minutes 14d
7.5
7.0
3-set count
4.0
6.0
Prev. match
7.0
6.4
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Carballes Baena R.Molcan A.
Freshness·Even
92
92

Carballes Baena R.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 12 games (7d) · Molcan A.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
16°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 66%
Q2
Goffin D.[8]
Tabilo A.
6-46-4
Kwon S.[13]
Humbert U.[1]
7-646-3
Dellien H.
Mcdonald M.[5]
7-56-1
Lajovic D.
Carballes Baena R.
6-36-2
Cressy M.[11]
Fucsovics M.[4]
7-651-67-66
Musetti L.[10]
Moro Canas A.
5-77-56-2
Paire B.[9]
Coria F.[6]
6-756-46-2
Q1
Lajovic D.
Mannarino A.[12]
6-46-2
Mcdonald M.[5]
Sousa J.
6-23-66-4
Fucsovics M.[4]
Merida Aguilar D.
6-46-3
Kwon S.[13]
Shang J.
5-76-36-4
Cressy M.[11]
Rincon D.
6-36-4
Carballes Baena R.
Molcan A.[2]
7-56-4
Tabilo A.
Giron M.[7]
6-37-5
Coria F.[6]
Kudla D.
6-26-2
Paire B.[9]
Nakashima B.
6-03-66-3
Dellien H.
Gaston H.[14]
6-16-2
Goffin D.[8]
Vesely J.
6-37-63
Musetti L.[10]
Nishioka Y.
7-56-3
Humbert U.[1]
Andujar P.
6-46-2
Moro Canas A.
Cerundolo F.[3]
6-06-4