Pablo Carreno Busta vs Luca Nardi — Hamburg Round of 32

Hamburg · ATP · Round of 32
Pablo Carreno Busta
ESP4
Pablo Carreno Busta
#65ATP
1801ELO
1767Clay ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 18 July 2022
clay
ITA
Luca Nardi
#160ATP
1585ELO
1537Clay ELO
$213kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLLWL
Carreno Busta P.
6-2 6-1
Nardi L.
Carreno Busta P.
662
Nardi L.
210

Pablo Carreno Busta defeated Luca Nardi 6-2 6-1 in the Hamburg round of 32 on clay. The result followed the form book — Pablo Carreno Busta came in ranked #65, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending the title. Pablo Carreno Busta extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-23DubaiQ2hardPablo Carreno Busta6-7(4) 6-4 7-6(5)

Serve vs return

This season
Carreno Busta P.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Nardi L.

Nardi L.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Serve advantage — Carreno Busta P.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Carreno Busta P.Nardi L.
1st serve in·Even
66%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
50%
Service points won·Even
64%
62%
Return points won·Even
39%
38%
Break points saved·Even
61%
60%
Aces / match·Even
3.6
3.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.9
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (183 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Carreno Busta P.Nardi L.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
78
32
Break points saved·Slight edge
97
92
Break points won·Dominant
61
15
Deciding sets·Dominant
80
42
Tiebreaks·Dominant
95
18

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Carreno Busta P.
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Nardi L.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.9+230 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.1Clay Elo 1537
6.7Overall Elo 1801
ELO gap
3.3Overall Elo 1585
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.1
Surface form
2.7
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
6.1
Minutes 14d
7.2
7.0
3-set count
4.0
6.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Carreno Busta P.Nardi L.
Freshness·Even
92
88

Carreno Busta P.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Nardi L.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
25°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 42%
Final
Musetti L.
Alcaraz C.[1]
6-46-766-4
Semi-finals
Alcaraz C.[1]
Molcan A.
7-626-1
Musetti L.
Cerundolo F.
6-37-63
Quarter-finals
Molcan A.
Coric B.
7-672-0
Alcaraz C.[1]
Khachanov K.[7]
6-06-2
Musetti L.
Davidovich Fokina A.
6-46-3
Cerundolo F.
Karatsev A.
6-34-67-64
R16
Alcaraz C.[1]
Krajinovic F.
7-646-3
Khachanov K.[7]
Fognini F.
6-37-5
Molcan A.
Carreno Busta P.[4]
6-31-67-65
Coric B.
Griekspoor T.
6-36-4
Musetti L.
Ruusuvuori E.
6-47-5
Karatsev A.
Galan D.
3-66-36-4
Cerundolo F.
Rublev A.[2]
6-46-2
Davidovich Fokina A.
Kovalik J.
6-26-2
R32
Krajinovic F.
Baez S.
6-14-67-66
Fognini F.
Bedene A.
6-33-67-65
Khachanov K.[7]
Struff J.
3-66-37-62
Carreno Busta P.[4]
Nardi L.
6-26-1
Molcan A.
Topo M.
7-56-3
Coric B.
Djere L.
1-67-646-3
Griekspoor T.
Rune H.[8]
7-687-5
Davidovich Fokina A.
Van De Zandschulp B.[5]
6-46-4
Kovalik J.
Rehberg M.
3-67-56-1
Musetti L.
Lajovic D.
6-747-646-3
Karatsev A.
Basilashvili N.[6]
6-46-0
Galan D.
Coria F.
7-646-4
Cerundolo F.
Altmaier D.
2-66-46-2
Ruusuvuori E.
Schwartzman D.[3]
7-56-4
Rublev A.[2]
Berankis R.
6-36-4
Alcaraz C.[1]
Kuhn N.
3-66-17-63