Pablo Carreno Busta vs Stan WawrinkaBastad Round of 32

Bastad · ATP · Round of 32
#71ATP
1801ELO
1767Clay ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
34 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 11 July 2022
clay
#109ATP
1678ELO
1613Clay ELO
$657kYTD
$38MCAREER
41 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWLLLL
Carreno Busta P.
7-5 6-4
Wawrinka S.
Carreno Busta P.
762
Wawrinka S.
540

Pablo Carreno Busta defeated Stan Wawrinka 7-5 6-4 in the Bastad round of 32 on clay. The result followed the form book — Pablo Carreno Busta came in ranked #71. Pablo Carreno Busta claimed a first win over Stan Wawrinka in four meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

03
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2017-03-06Indian Wells MastersSFhardStan Wawrinka6-3 6-2
2016-05-16GenevaQFclayStan Wawrinka6-3 6-1
2013-04-29EstorilSFclayStan Wawrinka6-3 3-6 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Carreno Busta P.serving84% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Wawrinka S.

Wawrinka S.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Serve advantage — Carreno Busta P.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
53%
Service points won·Even
64%
65%
Return points won·Even
39%
35%
Break points saved·Even
61%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.6
7.0
Double faults / match·Even
1.9
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (183 vs 174). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
65
Break points saved·Even
97
99
Break points won·Dominant
61
30
Deciding sets·Slight edge
80
71
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
95
90

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
6.4+154 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Clay Elo 1613
6.0Overall Elo 1801
ELO gap
4.0Overall Elo 1678
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.0
Surface form
4.0
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.2
Minutes 14d
8.4
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
6.0
3.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
89
92

Carreno Busta P.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Wawrinka S.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
18°COvercast
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 73%