Stan Wawrinka vs Pablo Carreno BustaIndian Wells Masters Semi-final

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Semi-final
#109ATP
1678ELO
1664Hard ELO
$657kYTD
$38MCAREER
41 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 March 2017
hard
#71ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
Wawrinka S.
6-3 6-2
Carreno Busta P.
Wawrinka S.
662
Carreno Busta P.
320

Stan Wawrinka defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 6-3 6-2 in the Indian Wells Masters semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Pablo Carreno Busta came in ranked #71, defending last year's round of 64. Stan Wawrinka extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-07-11BastadR32clayPablo Carreno Busta7-5 6-4
2016-05-16GenevaQFclayStan Wawrinka6-3 6-1
2013-04-29EstorilSFclayStan Wawrinka6-3 3-6 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Wawrinka S.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Carreno Busta P.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Wawrinka S.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Wawrinka S.Carreno Busta P.
48
Serve
21
8
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
53%
Service points won·Even
65%
64%
Return points won·Even
35%
38%
Break points saved·Even
63%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.0
3.6
Double faults / match·Even
2.0
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (198 vs 197). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
65
78
Break points saved·Even
99
97
Break points won·Dominant
30
61
Deciding sets·Slight edge
71
80
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
90
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
93
90

Wawrinka S.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Carreno Busta P.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
16°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 20%
Semi-finals
Federer R.[9]
Sock J.[17]
6-17-64
Wawrinka S.[3]
Carreno Busta P.[21]
6-36-2