

Stan Wawrinka defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 6-3 6-2 in the Indian Wells Masters semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Pablo Carreno Busta came in ranked #71, defending last year's round of 64. Stan Wawrinka extended the head-to-head to 3–1.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-07-11 | Bastad | R32 | clay | Pablo Carreno Busta | 7-5 6-4 |
| 2016-05-16 | Geneva | QF | clay | Stan Wawrinka | 6-3 6-1 |
| 2013-04-29 | Estoril | SF | clay | Stan Wawrinka | 6-3 3-6 6-1 |
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (198 vs 197). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Wawrinka S.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Carreno Busta P.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About