Madison Keys vs Elena Rybakina — Roland Garros Round of 32

Roland Garros · WTA · Round of 32
Madison Keys
USA19
Madison Keys
#22WTA
1987ELO
1894Clay ELO
$1.1MYTD
$24MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 23 May 2022
clay
Elena Rybakina
KAZ2
Elena Rybakina
#2WTA
2122ELO
2002Clay ELO
$4.4MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
Keys M.
3-6 6-1 7-6
Rybakina E.
Keys M.
36772
Rybakina E.
61631

Madison Keys defeated Elena Rybakina 3-6 6-1 7-6 in the Roland Garros round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 3–2, defending last year's quarter-final. Madison Keys narrowed the head-to-head to 3–3.

Key context

Head to head

2–3
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-07CincinnatiR16hardElena Rybakina6-7(3) 6-4 6-2
2025-01-13Australian OpenR16hardMadison Keys6-3 1-6 6-3
2024-03-18MiamiR16hardElena Rybakina6-3 7-5
2022-10-03OstravaR32hardElena Rybakina5-7 6-3 6-3
2022-08-15CincinnatiQFhardMadison Keys6-2 6-4
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Keys M.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Rybakina E.

Rybakina E.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Keys M.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Keys M.Rybakina E.
—
Serve
100
—
Return
9

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Keys M.Rybakina E.
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
49%
Service points won·Even
61%
64%
Return points won·Even
44%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.1
6.9
Double faults / match·Even
2.8
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Keys M.Rybakina E.
Clutch Rating·Even
94
92
Break points saved·Even
96
98
Break points won·Slight edge
90
96
Deciding sets·Even
97
98
Tiebreaks·Even
96
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Keys M.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Rybakina E.
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.1Clay Elo 1894
Surface ELO
6.9+108 Clay Elo edge
2.2Overall Elo 1987
ELO gap
7.8Overall Elo 2122
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.7
Surface form
6.9
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.1
Minutes 14d
6.1
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.1
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Keys M.Rybakina E.
Freshness·Clear edge
77
89

Keys M.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d) · Rybakina E.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
18°CDrizzle
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 88%

Draw

Final
Swiatek I.[3]
Gauff C.[4]
6-16-3
Semi-finals
Swiatek I.[3]
Kasatkina D.[20]
6-26-1
Gauff C.[4]
Trevisan M.
6-36-1
Quarter-finals
Kasatkina D.[20]
Kudermetova V.[29]
6-47-65
Swiatek I.[3]
Pegula J.[5]
6-36-2
Gauff C.[4]
Stephens S.
7-56-2
Trevisan M.
Fernandez L.[24]
6-26-736-3
R16
Swiatek I.[3]
Zheng Q.
6-756-06-2
Trevisan M.
Sasnovich A.[14]
7-6107-5
Stephens S.
Teichmann J.[23]
6-26-0
Gauff C.[4]
Mertens E.[23]
6-46-0
Kasatkina D.[20]
Giorgi C.[28]
6-26-2
Pegula J.[5]
Begu I.
4-66-26-3
Fernandez L.[24]
Anisimova A.[6]
6-34-66-3
Kudermetova V.[29]
Keys M.[19]
1-66-36-1
R32
Zheng Q.
Cornet A.
6-03-0
Kudermetova V.[29]
Badosa P.[3]
6-32-1
Pegula J.[5]
Zidansek T.[22]
6-17-62
Trevisan M.
Saville D.
6-36-4
Keys M.[19]
Rybakina E.[2]
3-66-17-63
Stephens S.
Parry D.
6-26-3
Anisimova A.[6]
Muchova K.[10]
6-776-23-0
Giorgi C.[28]
Sabalenka A.[1]
4-66-16-0
Sasnovich A.[14]
Kerber A.[21]
6-47-65
Mertens E.[23]
Gracheva V.
6-26-3
Swiatek I.[3]
Kovinic D.
6-37-5
Teichmann J.[23]
Azarenka V.[15]
4-67-57-65
Begu I.
Jeanjean L.
6-16-4
Kasatkina D.[20]
Rogers S.
6-36-2
Gauff C.[4]
Kanepi K.
6-36-4
Fernandez L.[24]
Bencic B.[11]
7-53-67-5
R64
Rybakina E.[2]
Volynets K.
6-46-0
Kasatkina D.[20]
Contreras Gomez F.
6-06-3
Trevisan M.
Linette M.
6-36-2
Saville D.
Kvitova P.[32]
6-46-2
Kerber A.[21]
Jacquemot E.
6-17-62
Sasnovich A.[14]
Raducanu E.[12]
3-66-16-1
Fernandez L.[24]
Siniakova K.
6-36-2
Muchova K.[10]
Sakkari M.[4]
7-657-64
Gracheva V.
Tomljanovic A.
6-46-757-5
Gauff C.[4]
Van Uytvanck A.
6-17-64
Kanepi K.
Haddad Maia B.
6-46-4
Azarenka V.[15]
Petkovic A.
6-17-63
Teichmann J.[23]
Danilovic O.
6-46-1
Parry D.
Osorio C.
6-36-3
Stephens S.
Cirstea S.[18]
3-66-26-0
Rogers S.
Collins D.[9]
6-46-3
Mertens E.[23]
Bouzkova M.[27]
W/O
Giorgi C.[28]
Putintseva Y.
6-37-5
Zidansek T.[22]
Sherif M.
W/O
Kudermetova V.[29]
Krunic A.
6-36-3
Kovinic D.
Schmiedlova A.
6-37-5
Jeanjean L.
Pliskova K.[20]
6-26-2
Bencic B.[11]
Andreescu B.[25]
6-26-4
Sabalenka A.[1]
Brengle M.
6-16-3
Zheng Q.
Halep S.[19]
2-66-26-1
Swiatek I.[3]
Riske Amritraj A.
6-06-2
Cornet A.
Ostapenko J.[29]
6-01-66-3
Pegula J.[5]
Kalinina A.
6-15-76-4
Badosa P.[3]
Juvan K.[11]
7-53-66-2
Keys M.[19]
Garcia C.
6-47-63
Anisimova A.[6]
Vekic D.
6-46-1
Begu I.
Alexandrova E.[14]
6-736-36-4
R128
Halep S.[19]
Schunk N.
6-41-66-1
Zheng Q.
Zanevska M.
6-36-1
Kovinic D.
Samsonova L.[20]
2-66-26-1
Kalinina A.
Baptiste H.[26]
5-2
Sherif M.
Kostyuk M.[15]
6-37-5
Alexandrova E.[14]
Minnen G.
7-56-3
Begu I.
Paolini J.[13]
4-66-17-65
Jeanjean L.
Parrizas Diaz N.
6-46-3
Pliskova K.[20]
Andrianjafitrimo T.
2-66-36-1
Badosa P.[3]
Ferro F.
6-26-0
Krunic A.
Rakhimova K.
6-46-3
Juvan K.[11]
Selekhmeteva O.
7-57-64
Kudermetova V.[29]
Zhu L.
6-43-66-3
Keys M.[19]
Kalinskaya A.[22]
6-33-66-4
Linette M.
Jabeur O.[6]
3-67-647-5
Trevisan M.
Dart H.
6-06-2
Kvitova P.[32]
Bondar A.
7-606-1
Fernandez L.[24]
Mladenovic K.
6-07-5
Anisimova A.[6]
Osaka N.[16]
7-56-4
Bouzkova M.[27]
Gasanova A.
6-26-1
Mertens E.[23]
Ruse E.
6-36-1
Gauff C.[4]
Marino R.
7-56-0
Van Uytvanck A.
Li A.[30]
3-62-3
Azarenka V.[15]
Bogdan A.
6-777-616-2
Schmiedlova A.
Kucova K.
4-67-616-2
Osorio C.
Tan H.
6-46-3
Riske Amritraj A.
Yastremska D.
6-36-3
Cornet A.
Doi M.
6-26-0
Rybakina E.[2]
Rus A.
6-15-76-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Paquet C.
2-66-36-4
Haddad Maia B.
Bucsa C.[31]
6-31-66-2
Cirstea S.[18]
Maria T.
6-36-3
Ostapenko J.[29]
Bronzetti L.
6-16-4
Pegula J.[5]
Wang Q.
6-26-4
Zidansek T.[22]
Liu C.
6-26-2
Garcia C.
Townsend T.
6-36-4
Collins D.[9]
Tomova V.
6-06-4
Rogers S.
Martincova T.
6-46-3
Contreras Gomez F.
Udvardy P.
7-686-3
Giorgi C.[28]
Zhang S.
3-66-26-2
Putintseva Y.
Bara I.
6-36-1
Brengle M.
Buzarnescu M.
6-16-2
Raducanu E.[12]
Noskova L.[12]
6-747-56-1
Kerber A.[21]
Frech M.
2-66-37-5
Jacquemot E.
Watson H.
6-36-3
Siniakova K.
Martic P.
6-47-66
Muchova K.[10]
Monnet C.
6-36-3
Vekic D.
Bjorklund M.
7-666-2
Sakkari M.[4]
Burel C.
6-26-3
Gracheva V.
Sharma A.
4-66-47-5
Petkovic A.
Dodin O.
6-46-2
Danilovic O.
Galfi D.
3-67-646-2
Parry D.
Krejcikova B.[2]
1-66-26-3
Saville D.
Grammatikopoulou V.
6-16-2
Tomljanovic A.
Kontaveit A.[5]
7-657-5
Stephens S.
Niemeier J.
5-76-46-2
Andreescu B.[25]
Bonaventure Y.
3-67-56-0
Teichmann J.[23]
Pera B.
6-26-1
Volynets K.
Golubic V.
6-22-66-1
Kanepi K.
Muguruza G.[10]
2-66-36-4
Kasatkina D.[20]
Sramkova R.
6-26-0
Bencic B.[11]
Jani R.
6-16-1
Sasnovich A.[14]
Wang X.
6-46-1
Swiatek I.[3]
Tsurenko L.
6-26-0