Andrey Rublev vs Daniel EvansMadrid Masters Round of 16

Madrid Masters · ATP · Round of 16
#13ATP
1902ELO
1872Clay ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 2 May 2022
clay
#385ATP
1588ELO
1499Clay ELO
36 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLLLLL
Rublev A.
7-6 7-5
Evans D.
Rublev A.
7972
Evans D.
6750

Andrey Rublev defeated Daniel Evans 7-6 7-5 in the Madrid Masters round of 16 on clay. The result followed the form book — Andrey Rublev came in ranked #13, defending last year's round of 16. Andrey Rublev extended the head-to-head to 4–3.

Key context

Head to head

33
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-01-16Australian OpenR32hardAndrey Rublev6-4 6-2 6-3
2022-08-08Canada MastersR32hardDaniel Evans6-4 6-4
2022-02-21DubaiR32hardAndrey Rublev6-4 7-5
2020-08-24Cincinnati MastersR64hardDaniel Evans7-5 3-6 6-2
2020-02-24DubaiQFhardDaniel Evans6-2 7-6(9)
2020-01-13AdelaideQFhardAndrey Rublev6-4 3-6 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Rublev A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Evans D.

Evans D.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Serve advantage — Rublev A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Rublev A.Evans D.
14
Serve
62
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
50%
Service points won·Even
67%
63%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.9
4.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.5
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 198). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
88
73
Break points saved·Even
100
97
Break points won·Slight edge
72
61
Deciding sets·Clear edge
97
82
Tiebreaks·Dominant
92
66

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.0+373 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.0Clay Elo 1499
8.5Overall Elo 1902
ELO gap
1.5Overall Elo 1588
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.9
Surface form
2.4
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.1
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
94
100

Rublev A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Evans D.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
16°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 66%