

Daniel Evans defeated Andrey Rublev 7-5 3-6 6-2 in the Cincinnati Masters round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Andrey Rublev came in ranked #16, leading the head-to-head 4–2, defending last year's quarter-final. Daniel Evans narrowed the head-to-head to 4–3.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-01-16 | Australian Open | R32 | hard | Andrey Rublev | 6-4 6-2 6-3 |
| 2022-08-08 | Canada Masters | R32 | hard | Daniel Evans | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2022-05-02 | Madrid Masters | R16 | clay | Andrey Rublev | 7-6(7) 7-5 |
| 2022-02-21 | Dubai | R32 | hard | Andrey Rublev | 6-4 7-5 |
| 2020-02-24 | Dubai | QF | hard | Daniel Evans | 6-2 7-6(9) |
| 2020-01-13 | Adelaide | QF | hard | Andrey Rublev | 6-4 3-6 6-3 |
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.