Daria Kasatkina vs Maria SakkariMadrid Round of 32

Madrid · WTA · Round of 32
#63WTA
1795ELO
1770Clay ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 28 April 2022
clay
#37WTA
1812ELO
1754Clay ELO
$901kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLLLWWL
Kasatkina D.
3-6 6-3 6-1
Sakkari M.
Kasatkina D.
3662
Sakkari M.
6311

Daria Kasatkina defeated Maria Sakkari 3-6 6-3 6-1 in the Madrid round of 32 on clay. The result followed the form book — Daria Kasatkina came in leading the head-to-head 3–1, defending last year's round of 32. Daria Kasatkina extended the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

Head to head

31
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-12AdelaideR32hardDaria Kasatkina7-6(2) 6-4
2022-06-13BerlinQFgrassMaria Sakkari6-0 6-3
2018-08-06MontrealR64hardDaria Kasatkina6-4 4-6 6-1
2018-05-28Roland GarrosR32clayDaria Kasatkina6-1 1-6 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Kasatkina D.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Sakkari M.

Sakkari M.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
70%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
60%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
41%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
54%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
48%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.4
3.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.7
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
78
81
Break points saved·Clear edge
80
94
Break points won·Clear edge
100
87
Deciding sets·Clear edge
93
77
Tiebreaks·Dominant
47
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
5.1+16 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Clay Elo 1754
4.8Overall Elo 1795
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1812
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.3
Surface form
6.6
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
8.4
Minutes 14d
9.3
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
92
92

Kasatkina D.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Sakkari M.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
13°CDrizzle
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 75%

Draw