Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Juan Pablo Varillas — Buenos Aires CH Semi-final

Buenos Aires CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ARG3
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
#58ATP
1759ELO
1741Clay ELO
$653kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 25 April 2022
clay
Juan Pablo Varillas
PER2
Juan Pablo Varillas
#279ATP
1440ELO
1431Clay ELO
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLLL
Ugo Carabelli C.
3-6 6-1 6-0
Varillas J.
Ugo Carabelli C.
3662
Varillas J.
6101

Camilo Ugo Carabelli defeated Juan Pablo Varillas 3-6 6-1 6-0 in the Buenos Aires CH semi-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Camilo Ugo Carabelli came in ranked #58, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 32. Camilo Ugo Carabelli extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-02-12Buenos AiresR32clayCamilo Ugo Carabelli7-6(5) 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Ugo Carabelli C.serving66% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Varillas J.

Varillas J.serving66% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Ugo Carabelli C.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Ugo Carabelli C.Varillas J.
24
Serve
—
28
Return
—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Ugo Carabelli C.Varillas J.
1st serve in·Even
63%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
51%
Service points won·Even
60%
61%
Return points won·Even
41%
40%
Break points saved·Even
60%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.7
3.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Ugo Carabelli C.Varillas J.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
55
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
80
Break points won·Clear edge
62
43
Deciding sets·Dominant
96
63
Tiebreaks·Even
72
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Ugo Carabelli C.
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Varillas J.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.5+310 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.5Clay Elo 1431
8.5Overall Elo 1759
ELO gap
1.5Overall Elo 1440
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.7
Surface form
6.4
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Prev. match
6.0
Surface transition
Context
6.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Ugo Carabelli C.Varillas J.
Freshness·Dominant
100
62

Ugo Carabelli C.: 15 days rest · Varillas J.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 84 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Final
Rodriguez Taverna S.[2]
Diaz Acosta F.[7]
6-46-2
Ugo Carabelli C.[3]
Collarini A.
7-56-2
Comesana F.[3]
Navone M.
6-46-0
Cerundolo J.
Ugo Carabelli C.[4]
6-42-67-5
Semi-finals
Rodriguez Taverna S.[2]
Lama G.[4]
6-16-3
Diaz Acosta F.[7]
Dellien Velasco M.
6-36-1
Collarini A.
Olivieri G.
6-46-1
Ugo Carabelli C.[3]
Varillas J.[2]
3-66-16-0
Navone M.
Jaziri M.[7]
7-56-0
Comesana F.[3]
Meligeni Alves F.[2]
6-36-2
Ugo Carabelli C.[4]
Popko D.
6-26-1
Cerundolo J.
Navone M.
6-37-5
Quarter-finals
Rodriguez Taverna S.[2]
Casanova H.[5]
7-56-4
Lama G.[4]
Pereira J.
6-716-16-4
Diaz Acosta F.[7]
Villanueva G.
6-36-2
Dellien Velasco M.
Burruchaga R.
6-36-1
Varillas J.[2]
Comesana F.
6-46-3
Ugo Carabelli C.[3]
Villanueva G.
6-46-2
Olivieri G.
Rodriguez Taverna S.[7]
7-646-3
Collarini A.
Meligeni Alves F.[5]
1-66-26-2
Jaziri M.[7]
Villanueva G.[4]
6-21-66-3
Comesana F.[3]
Huertas Del Pino A.
6-26-1
Meligeni Alves F.[2]
Reis Da Silva J.
6-46-2
Navone M.
Ficovich J.[1]
3-66-06-3
Popko D.
Burruchaga R.
7-50-66-2
Ugo Carabelli C.[4]
Olivo R.
6-34-66-2
Navone M.
Seyboth Wild T.
6-36-1
Cerundolo J.
Bagnis F.[5]
6-46-2
R16
Rodriguez Taverna S.[2]
Paz J.
7-57-65
Casanova H.[5]
Rubin N.
6-32-66-2
Pereira J.
Gomez F.
6-46-3
Diaz Acosta F.[7]
Navone M.
6-36-2
Burruchaga R.
Gimeno Valero C.[6]
6-04-67-64
Dellien Velasco M.
Lipovsek Puches T.
6-16-1
Lama G.[4]
Torres J.
3-66-36-3
Villanueva G.
Olivieri G.[3]
6-46-1
Comesana F.
Darderi L.
7-656-4
Villanueva G.
Burruchaga R.
7-56-1
Meligeni Alves F.[5]
Lingua Lavallen A.
6-16-3
Collarini A.
Olivo R.[4]
4-66-16-3
Rodriguez Taverna S.[7]
Domingues J.
6-46-3
Varillas J.[2]
Martin Tiffon P.
7-56-4
Olivieri G.
Bagnis F.[1]
7-646-3
Ugo Carabelli C.[3]
Diaz Acosta F.
6-36-2
Reis Da Silva J.
Quiroz R.[5]
4-66-16-2
Huertas Del Pino A.
Huertas Del Pino C.
6-41-66-4
Navone M.
Hardt N.[6]
6-14-66-0
Ficovich J.[1]
Juarez F.
6-16-1
Meligeni Alves F.[2]
Franco Descotte M.
6-36-2
Villanueva G.[4]
Andreozzi G.
7-636-2
Comesana F.[3]
Otegui J.
7-56-2
Jaziri M.[7]
Galarza J.
7-687-66
Olivo R.
Hanfmann Y.[8]
W/O
Burruchaga R.
Altmaier D.[2]
7-667-5
Ugo Carabelli C.[4]
Otegui J.
6-20-66-4
Navone M.
Sanchez Jover C.
4-66-36-1
Bagnis F.[5]
Torres J.
6-16-4
Popko D.
Leite W.
6-46-3
Cerundolo J.
Casanova H.
6-26-2
Seyboth Wild T.
Darderi L.
7-56-3
R32
Navone M.
Kestelboim M.
7-55-3
Gomez F.
Vidal Azorin J.
3-67-627-5
Rodriguez Taverna S.[2]
Rosenkranz M.
6-33-66-3
Rubin N.
Dutra Da Silva D.
7-656-2
Casanova H.[5]
Juarez F.
6-46-1
Lama G.[4]
Franco Descotte M.
7-57-64
Torres J.
Kirchheimer S.
6-16-2
Olivieri G.[3]
Moreno De Alboran N.
6-45-76-2
Lipovsek Puches T.
Aboian V.
6-27-63
Dellien Velasco M.
Andreozzi G.[1]
6-36-2
Gimeno Valero C.[6]
Lingua Lavallen A.
6-41-66-3
Paz J.
Aboian L.
6-37-5
Burruchaga R.
La Serna J.
6-17-65
Villanueva G.
Deckers A.
7-626-4
Pereira J.
Darderi L.[8]
6-47-63
Meligeni Alves F.[5]
Torres J.
7-617-5
Varillas J.[2]
Soares Klier Junior G.
6-26-2
Martin Tiffon P.
Casanova H.
6-26-1
Darderi L.
Kicker N.[6]
6-26-4
Ugo Carabelli C.[3]
Juarez F.
6-26-4
Burruchaga R.
Egea F.
6-26-1
Collarini A.
Lama G.
7-56-3
Olivo R.[4]
Janvier M.
7-676-1
Rodriguez Taverna S.[7]
De La Fuente S.
7-606-4
Domingues J.
Galarza J.
6-46-736-2
Olivieri G.
Dellien Velasco M.
6-34-66-1
Bagnis F.[1]
Huertas Del Pino C.
2-66-36-4
Diaz Acosta F.
Cukierman D.
6-33-66-1
Villanueva G.
Menezes J.[8]
3-66-46-3
Comesana F.
Rodriguez C.
7-677-61
Lingua Lavallen A.
Heide G.
7-677-63
Meligeni Alves F.[2]
Lingua Lavallen A.
6-27-66
Franco Descotte M.
Perchicot M.
6-36-1
Quiroz R.[5]
Monzon I.
6-16-4
Comesana F.[3]
Alvarez N.
6-26-746-3
Otegui J.
Nakagawa N.
6-46-2
Huertas Del Pino C.
Gomez Herrera C.
6-13-67-5
Huertas Del Pino A.
Mejia N.
6-06-1
Jaziri M.[7]
Burruchaga R.
6-40-67-5
Andreozzi G.
Zhu E.
6-17-5
Juarez F.
Farjat T.
6-06-4
Ficovich J.[1]
Dellien Velasco M.
6-756-47-62
Reis Da Silva J.
Barrena A.
6-31-66-4
Navone M.
Aboian V.
6-43-66-3
Villanueva G.[4]
Aboian L.
6-41-66-1
Hardt N.[6]
Tenti F.
6-16-1
Galarza J.
Leite W.
7-626-3
Cerundolo J.
Alvarez N.
6-36-3
Casanova H.
Collarini A.
6-45-76-3
Leite W.
Midon L.
4-66-36-1
Popko D.
Rodriguez Taverna S.[7]
7-680-67-5
Olivo R.
Kicker N.
6-35-76-4
Hanfmann Y.[8]
Villanueva G.
6-26-4
Sanchez Jover C.
Diaz Acosta F.
6-46-4
Seyboth Wild T.
Nagal S.
5-77-647-5
Ugo Carabelli C.[4]
Dutra Da Silva D.
6-26-2
Otegui J.
Monzon I.
5-76-47-64
Altmaier D.[2]
Martin Tiffon P.
6-46-3
Burruchaga R.
Juarez F.
6-36-3
Bagnis F.[5]
Tirante T.
6-16-4
Navone M.
Meligeni Alves F.[6]
6-26-4
Torres J.
Olivieri G.
7-613-66-3
Darderi L.
Coria F.[1]
6-27-64