Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Juan Pablo VarillasBuenos Aires Round of 32

Buenos Aires · ATP · Round of 32
#58ATP
1759ELO
1741Clay ELO
$653kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 12 February 2024
clay
#279ATP
1440ELO
1431Clay ELO
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLLL
Ugo Carabelli C.
7-6 6-4
Varillas J.
Ugo Carabelli C.
7762
Varillas J.
6540

Camilo Ugo Carabelli defeated Juan Pablo Varillas 7-6 6-4 in the Buenos Aires round of 32 on clay. The result followed the form book — Camilo Ugo Carabelli came in ranked #58, defending last year's round of 16.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Ugo Carabelli C.serving63% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Varillas J.

Varillas J.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Ugo Carabelli C.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Ugo Carabelli C.Varillas J.
24
Serve
36
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
50%
Service points won·Even
60%
61%
Return points won·Even
40%
41%
Break points saved·Even
61%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.7
3.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (175 vs 131). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
55
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
80
Break points won·Clear edge
62
43
Deciding sets·Dominant
96
63
Tiebreaks·Even
72
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.5+310 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.5Clay Elo 1431
8.5Overall Elo 1759
ELO gap
1.5Overall Elo 1440
10.0No prior meetings
H2H
0.0
8.5
Surface form
5.6
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
5.3
Minutes 14d
6.3
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
7.6
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
98
55

Ugo Carabelli C.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Varillas J.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 111 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
22°CRain
Wind 22 km/hHumidity 94%