Nicolas Jarry vs Shintaro MochizukiAguascalientes CH Round of 16

Aguascalientes CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#764ATP
1648ELO
1642Clay ELO
$70kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
30 yrs · 201 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 18 April 2022
clay
#115ATP
1475ELO
1433Clay ELO
$243kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
Jarry N.
6-2 6-4
Mochizuki S.
Jarry N.
662
Mochizuki S.
240

Nicolas Jarry defeated Shintaro Mochizuki 6-2 6-4 in the Aguascalientes CH round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Shintaro Mochizuki came in ranked #115, but Nicolas Jarry had arrived on a 3-match winning run.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Jarry N.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Mochizuki S.

Mochizuki S.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Jarry N.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
55%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
68%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.9
2.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.4
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
48
52
Break points saved·Clear edge
98
74
Break points won·Dominant
4
55
Deciding sets·Slight edge
57
46
Tiebreaks·Even
79
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.0+209 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.0Clay Elo 1433
6.8Overall Elo 1648
ELO gap
3.2Overall Elo 1475
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.5
Surface form
1.6
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
0.0
Minutes 14d
6.7
0.0
3-set count
7.0
6.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
86

Mochizuki S.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast