Carlos Alcaraz vs Pablo Carreno BustaBarcelona Final

Barcelona · ATP · Final
#3ATP
2162ELO
2102Clay ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 18 April 2022
clay
#65ATP
1801ELO
1767Clay ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
Alcaraz C.
6-3 6-2
Carreno Busta P.
Alcaraz C.
662
Carreno Busta P.
320

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 6-3 6-2 in the Barcelona final on clay. The result followed the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 64. Carlos Alcaraz extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-10-24BaselQFhardCarlos Alcaraz6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Alcaraz C.serving84% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Carreno Busta P.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Serve advantage — Alcaraz C.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
57%
53%
Service points won·Even
68%
64%
Return points won·Even
42%
39%
Break points saved·Even
65%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.1
3.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 183). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
98
78
Break points saved·Even
100
97
Break points won·Dominant
99
61
Deciding sets·Clear edge
100
80
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
100
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
10.0+335 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Clay Elo 1767
10.0Overall Elo 2162
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1801
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.7
Surface form
6.9
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.2
Minutes 14d
6.7
7.0
3-set count
7.0
4.0
Prev. match
7.0
5.5
Country comfort
6.5
Context
6.0
Defending pts
8.5

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
94

Carreno Busta P.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
18°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 64%
Final
Alcaraz C.[5]
Carreno Busta P.[8]
6-36-2