Dayana Yastremska vs Jessica PegulaBJK Cup QLS R1: USA vs UKR Round Robin

BJK Cup QLS R1: USA vs UKR · WTA · Round Robin
#74WTA
1792ELO
1733Hard ELO
$505kYTD
$6.5MCAREER
26 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Friday, 15 April 2022
hard
#3WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
Yastremska D.
6-3 6-4
Pegula J.
Yastremska D.
662
Pegula J.
340

Dayana Yastremska defeated Jessica Pegula 6-3 6-4 in the BJK Cup QLS R1: USA vs UKR round robin on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Dayana Yastremska claimed a first win over Jessica Pegula in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-04BrisbaneR16hardJessica Pegula5-7 6-2 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Yastremska D.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Pegula J.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Yastremska D.

Serve advantage — Pegula J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Yastremska D.Pegula J.
11
Serve
68
25
Return
73

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
56%
61%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Even
56%
58%
Aces / match·Even
2.8
3.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.6
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
77
96
Break points saved·Slight edge
89
96
Break points won·Slight edge
92
99
Deciding sets·Dominant
63
100
Tiebreaks·Even
98
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.9Hard Elo 1733
Surface ELO
9.1+325 Hard Elo edge
1.0Overall Elo 1792
ELO gap
9.0Overall Elo 2097
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.8
Surface form
6.6
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.8
Minutes 14d
8.0
7.0
3-set count
7.0
6.0
Prev. match
7.0
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
97
83

Yastremska D.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Pegula J.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About