Tommy Paul vs Alexander ZverevIndian Wells Masters Round of 64

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#24ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 7 March 2022
hard
#2ATP
2100ELO
2042Hard ELO
$6.5MYTD
$66MCAREER
29 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
Paul T.
6-2 4-6 7-6
Zverev A.
Paul T.
64772
Zverev A.
26621

Tommy Paul defeated Alexander Zverev 6-2 4-6 7-6 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alexander Zverev came in ranked #2, defending last year's quarter-final, but Tommy Paul had arrived on a 3-match winning run. Tommy Paul extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Tommy Paul closed it out in three sets, 6–2 4–6 7–6.

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-01-13Australian OpenQFhardAlexander Zverev7-6(1) 7-6(0) 2-6 6-1
2020-02-24AcapulcoR16hardTommy Paul6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Paul T.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Zverev A.

Zverev A.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Paul T.Zverev A.
71
Serve
71
54
Return
42

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
72%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
54%
Service points won·Even
65%
69%
Return points won·Even
39%
38%
Break points saved·Even
64%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.2
8.5
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
93
94
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Even
87
90
Deciding sets·Even
98
99
Tiebreaks·Even
96
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
3.0Hard Elo 1881
Surface ELO
7.0+160 Hard Elo edge
3.0Overall Elo 1949
ELO gap
7.0Overall Elo 2100
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.1
Surface form
6.6
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.4
Minutes 14d
6.1
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
7.3
Country comfort
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
88
39

Paul T.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Zverev A.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 148 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
21°CClear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 10%