Petra Martic vs Madison KeysMonterrey Round of 32

Monterrey · WTA · Round of 32
#686WTA
1673ELO
1633Hard ELO
35 yrs · 181 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 28 February 2022
hard
#22WTA
1987ELO
1920Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$24MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
Martic P.
5-7 7-6 6-3
Keys M.
Martic P.
57762
Keys M.
76331

Petra Martic defeated Madison Keys 5-7 7-6 6-3 in the Monterrey round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Madison Keys came in ranked #22, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Petra Martic narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-06-26EastbourneQFgrassMadison Keys6-4 6-1
2019-10-22ZhuhaiRRhardMadison Keys6-3 6-4
2017-05-29Roland GarrosR64clayPetra Martic3-6 6-3 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Martic P.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Keys M.

Keys M.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Martic P.

Serve advantage — Keys M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Martic P.Keys M.
Serve
36
Return
29

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
47%
Service points won·Even
59%
61%
Return points won·Even
41%
44%
Break points saved·Even
56%
59%
Aces / match·Even
4.5
4.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.6
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (163 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
74
94
Break points saved·Slight edge
85
96
Break points won·Clear edge
66
90
Deciding sets·Slight edge
88
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
86
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
8.0
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.6Hard Elo 1633
Surface ELO
8.4+288 Hard Elo edge
1.4Overall Elo 1673
ELO gap
8.6Overall Elo 1987
0.0
H2H
10.0
2.4
Surface form
7.5
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.9
3-set count
7.0
6.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
82

Keys M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
15°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 50%