Hubert Hurkacz vs Jannik SinnerDubai Quarter-final

Dubai · ATP · Quarter-final
#96ATP
1798ELO
1727Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 21 February 2022
hard
#1ATP
2320ELO
2263Hard ELO
$6.9MYTD
$65MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
Hurkacz H.
6-3 6-3
Sinner J.
Hurkacz H.
662
Sinner J.
330

Hubert Hurkacz defeated Jannik Sinner 6-3 6-3 in the Dubai quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jannik Sinner came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 3–1, defending last year's quarter-final. Hubert Hurkacz narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

13
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-06-17HalleFgrassJannik Sinner7-6(8) 7-6(2)
2023-04-10Monte Carlo MastersR16clayJannik Sinner3-6 7-6(6) 6-1
2021-11-15Tour FinalsRRhardJannik Sinner6-2 6-2
2021-03-22Miami MastersFhardHubert Hurkacz7-6(4) 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Hurkacz H.serving87% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Sinner J.

Sinner J.serving96% hold

wins 76% of points on serve vs Hurkacz H.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Hurkacz H.Sinner J.
67
Serve
100
0
Return
100

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
79%
79%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
58%
Service points won·Even
69%
71%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
68%
74%
Aces / match·Dominant
13.9
7.4
Double faults / match·Even
1.8
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
100
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Dominant
40
100
Deciding sets·Slight edge
94
100
Tiebreaks·Even
97
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
0.0Hard Elo 1727
Surface ELO
10.0+537 Hard Elo edge
0.0Overall Elo 1798
ELO gap
10.0Overall Elo 2320
4.6
H2H
5.4
5.1
Surface form
8.5
Fatigue & Travel
7.9
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
Context
6.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
68
53

Hurkacz H.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 53 games (7d) · Sinner J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 95 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
25°COvercast
Wind 27 km/hHumidity 63%