Hubert Hurkacz vs Jannik SinnerMiami Masters Final

Miami Masters · ATP · Final
#68ATP
1798ELO
1727Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 22 March 2021
hard
#1ATP
2320ELO
2263Hard ELO
$6.9MYTD
$65MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWLWW
Hurkacz H.
7-6 6-4
Sinner J.
Hurkacz H.
7762
Sinner J.
6440

Hubert Hurkacz defeated Jannik Sinner 7-6 6-4 in the Miami Masters final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jannik Sinner came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 3–1. Hubert Hurkacz narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

13
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-06-17HalleFgrassJannik Sinner7-6(8) 7-6(2)
2023-04-10Monte Carlo MastersR16clayJannik Sinner3-6 7-6(6) 6-1
2022-02-21DubaiQFhardHubert Hurkacz6-3 6-3
2021-11-15Tour FinalsRRhardJannik Sinner6-2 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Hurkacz H.serving87% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Sinner J.

Sinner J.serving96% hold

wins 76% of points on serve vs Hurkacz H.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Hurkacz H.Sinner J.
67
Serve
100
0
Return
100

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
79%
79%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
58%
Service points won·Even
69%
71%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
68%
74%
Aces / match·Dominant
14.0
7.4
Double faults / match·Even
1.8
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
100
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Dominant
40
100
Deciding sets·Slight edge
94
100
Tiebreaks·Even
97
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
76
43

Hurkacz H.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d) · Sinner J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 109 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
22°CPartly cloudy
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 47%
Final
Hurkacz H.[26]
Sinner J.[21]
7-646-4