Fabio Fognini vs Pablo Carreno BustaRio de Janeiro Round of 16

Rio de Janeiro · ATP · Round of 16
39 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 14 February 2022
clay
#71ATP
1801ELO
1767Clay ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
Fognini F.
5-7 6-4 6-3
Carreno Busta P.
Fognini F.
5662
Carreno Busta P.
7431

Fabio Fognini defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 5-7 6-4 6-3 in the Rio de Janeiro round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Pablo Carreno Busta came in leading the head-to-head 8–1. Fabio Fognini narrowed the head-to-head to 8–2.

Key context

Head to head

18
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-10-17NaplesR16hardPablo Carreno Busta6-1 6-1
2021-02-02Atp CupSFhardFabio Fognini6-2 1-6 6-4
2019-07-22HamburgQFclayPablo Carreno Busta3-6 6-2 7-6(4)
2019-01-14Australian OpenR32hardPablo Carreno Busta6-2 6-4 2-6 6-4
2017-04-17Monte Carlo MastersR64clayPablo Carreno Busta7-6(0) 6-7(4) 6-3
2017-02-27Sao PauloQFclayPablo Carreno Busta6-0 7-6(1)
2016-10-31Paris MastersR64hardPablo Carreno Busta6-3 6-1
2016-10-17MoscowFhardPablo Carreno Busta4-6 6-3 6-2
2013-04-29EstorilQFclayPablo Carreno Busta3-6 6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Fognini F.serving66% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Carreno Busta P.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Fognini F.

Serve advantage — Carreno Busta P.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
64%
Return points won·Even
39%
39%
Break points saved·Even
57%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.9
3.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.8
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (183 vs 183). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
87
78
Break points saved·Even
93
97
Break points won·Clear edge
81
61
Deciding sets·Clear edge
93
80
Tiebreaks·Even
92
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
0.0
H2H
10.0
4.4
Surface form
8.3
0.0
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.8
Minutes 14d
8.0
Prev. match
0.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
89

Carreno Busta P.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
31°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 67%