Fabio Fognini vs Pablo Carreno BustaAtp Cup Semi-final

Atp Cup · ATP · Semi-final
39 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 2 February 2021
hard
#71ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
Fognini F.
6-2 1-6 6-4
Carreno Busta P.
Fognini F.
6162
Carreno Busta P.
2641

Fabio Fognini defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 6-2 1-6 6-4 in the Atp Cup semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Pablo Carreno Busta came in leading the head-to-head 8–1. Fabio Fognini narrowed the head-to-head to 8–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Fabio Fognini closed it out in three sets, 6–2 1–6 6–4.

Head to head

18
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-10-17NaplesR16hardPablo Carreno Busta6-1 6-1
2022-02-14Rio de JaneiroR16clayFabio Fognini5-7 6-4 6-3
2019-07-22HamburgQFclayPablo Carreno Busta3-6 6-2 7-6(4)
2019-01-14Australian OpenR32hardPablo Carreno Busta6-2 6-4 2-6 6-4
2017-04-17Monte Carlo MastersR64clayPablo Carreno Busta7-6(0) 6-7(4) 6-3
2017-02-27Sao PauloQFclayPablo Carreno Busta6-0 7-6(1)
2016-10-31Paris MastersR64hardPablo Carreno Busta6-3 6-1
2016-10-17MoscowFhardPablo Carreno Busta4-6 6-3 6-2
2013-04-29EstorilQFclayPablo Carreno Busta3-6 6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Fognini F.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Carreno Busta P.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Fognini F.

Serve advantage — Carreno Busta P.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Fognini F.Carreno Busta P.
Serve
21
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
53%
Service points won·Even
60%
64%
Return points won·Even
39%
38%
Break points saved·Even
58%
61%
Aces / match·Even
3.1
3.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.8
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 197). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
87
78
Break points saved·Even
93
97
Break points won·Clear edge
81
61
Deciding sets·Clear edge
93
80
Tiebreaks·Even
92
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
90

Carreno Busta P.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast