Lorenzo Sonego vs Sebastian BaezBuenos Aires Round of 16

Buenos Aires · ATP · Round of 16
#83ATP
1719ELO
1635Clay ELO
$435kYTD
$9.8MCAREER
31 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLWLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 7 February 2022
clay
#56ATP
1759ELO
1718Clay ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Sonego L.
6-3 6-3
Baez S.
Sonego L.
662
Baez S.
330

Lorenzo Sonego defeated Sebastian Baez 6-3 6-3 in the Buenos Aires round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Sebastian Baez came in ranked #56. Lorenzo Sonego extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-10-17NaplesR32hardSebastian Baez7-5 7-6(3)
2022-01-10SydneyR16hardLorenzo Sonego6-2 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Sonego L.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Baez S.

Baez S.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Sonego L.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Sonego L.Baez S.
Serve
1
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
72%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
66%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
40%
Break points saved·Even
64%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.0
2.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.0
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
69
87
Break points saved·Even
99
96
Break points won·Dominant
45
86
Deciding sets·Clear edge
71
88
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
88
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.5Clay Elo 1635
Surface ELO
5.5+83 Clay Elo edge
5.1Overall Elo 1719
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1759
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.0
Surface form
8.1
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Minutes 14d
6.7
7.0
3-set count
7.0
6.0
Prev. match
7.0
Country comfort
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
79
96

Sonego L.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Baez S.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 50%