Lorenzo Sonego vs Sebastian Baez — Sydney Round of 16

Sydney · ATP · Round of 16
Lorenzo Sonego
ITA5
Lorenzo Sonego
#83ATP
1719ELO
1702Hard ELO
$435kYTD
$9.8MCAREER
31 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLWLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 10 January 2022
hard
Sebastian Baez
ARG
Sebastian Baez
#56ATP
1759ELO
1709Hard ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Sonego L.
6-2 6-3
Baez S.
Sonego L.
662
Baez S.
230

Lorenzo Sonego defeated Sebastian Baez 6-2 6-3 in the Sydney round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Sebastian Baez came in ranked #56. Lorenzo Sonego extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

1–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-10-17NaplesR32hardSebastian Baez7-5 7-6(3)
2022-02-07Buenos AiresR16clayLorenzo Sonego6-3 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Sonego L.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Baez S.

Baez S.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Sonego L.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sonego L.Baez S.
41
Serve
5
38
Return
63

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Sonego L.Baez S.
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
72%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
66%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
40%
Break points saved·Even
64%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.1
2.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.0
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Sonego L.Baez S.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
69
87
Break points saved·Even
99
96
Break points won·Dominant
45
86
Deciding sets·Clear edge
71
88
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
88
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sonego L.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 42 days (−0.7)
Baez S.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.2Hard Elo 1702
Surface ELO
4.8+7 Hard Elo edge
5.1Overall Elo 1719
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1759
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.9
Surface form
4.1
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.1
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Sonego L.Baez S.
Freshness·Clear edge
79
96

Sonego L.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Baez S.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Final
Karatsev A.[1]
Murray A.
6-36-3
Semi-finals
Karatsev A.[1]
Evans D.[3]
6-36-7136-3
Murray A.
Opelka R.[4]
6-766-46-4
Quarter-finals
Murray A.
Goffin D.[8]
6-20-0
Opelka R.[4]
Nakashima B.
7-646-2
Karatsev A.[1]
Sonego L.[5]
6-23-66-2
Evans D.[3]
Cressy M.
6-47-65
R16
Nakashima B.
Fognini F.[7]
7-677-66
Sonego L.[5]
Baez S.
6-26-3
Evans D.[3]
Martinez P.
6-26-3
Goffin D.[8]
Kudla D.
6-26-3
Opelka R.[4]
Thompson J.
6-36-2
Karatsev A.[1]
Kecmanovic M.
7-56-4
Murray A.
Basilashvili N.[2]
6-747-636-3
Cressy M.
Lajovic D.[6]
6-36-4
R32
Nakashima B.
Vesely J.
7-627-60
Kudla D.
Delbonis F.
6-36-1
Martinez P.
Popyrin A.
6-46-4
Cressy M.
Mannarino A.
6-37-5
Kecmanovic M.
Travaglia S.
6-26-3
Baez S.
Oconnell C.
6-21-67-64
Goffin D.[8]
Bagnis F.
6-46-4
Sonego L.[5]
Gaston H.
3-66-37-5
Fognini F.[7]
Altmaier D.
6-37-5
Lajovic D.[6]
Davidovich Fokina A.
7-656-4
Thompson J.
Giron M.
6-46-2
Murray A.
Durasovic V.
6-36-1