Marin Cilic vs Andrey Rublev — Australian Open Round of 32

Australian Open · ATP · Round of 32
Marin Cilic
CRO27
Marin Cilic
#88ATP
1800ELO
1762Hard ELO
$776kYTD
$33MCAREER
37 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLLWL
3 — 1
Sets
Monday, 17 January 2022
hard
Andrey Rublev
RUS5
Andrey Rublev
#16ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
Cilic M.
7-5 7-6 3-6 6-3
Rublev A.
Cilic M.
777363
Rublev A.
563631

Marin Cilic defeated Andrey Rublev 7-5 7-6 3-6 6-3 in the Australian Open round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Andrey Rublev came in ranked #16, leading the head-to-head 4–2, defending last year's quarter-final. Marin Cilic narrowed the head-to-head to 4–3.

Key context

  • Match story: Marin Cilic closed it out in four sets, 7–5 7–6 3–6 6–3.

Head to head

2–4
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-05-23Roland GarrosQFclayMarin Cilic5-7 6-3 6-4 3-6 7-6(2)
2021-08-16Cincinnati MastersR32hardAndrey Rublev5-7 6-3 6-1
2021-03-22Miami MastersR16hardAndrey Rublev6-4 6-4
2019-10-14MoscowSFhardAndrey Rublev7-5 6-4
2019-03-18Miami MastersR64hardAndrey Rublev6-4 6-4
2015-05-17GenevaR16clayMarin Cilic4-6 7-6(7) 6-1
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Cilic M.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Rublev A.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Cilic M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Cilic M.Rublev A.
57
Serve
55
10
Return
52

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Cilic M.Rublev A.
1st serve in·Even
58%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
78%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
67%
67%
Return points won·Even
36%
38%
Break points saved·Even
68%
66%
Aces / match·Clear edge
10.4
7.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.2
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (137 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Cilic M.Rublev A.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
76
89
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Dominant
41
72
Deciding sets·Even
94
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
87
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Cilic M.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Rublev A.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 43 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
4.1Hard Elo 1762
Surface ELO
5.9+87 Hard Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1800
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1902
0.0
H2H
10.0
4.8
Surface form
6.1
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3.1
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
6.1
Country comfort
6.6
Context
6.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Cilic M.Rublev A.
Freshness·Even
98
95

Cilic M.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Rublev A.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 68%
Final
Nadal R.[6]
Medvedev D.[2]
2-66-756-46-47-5
Semi-finals
Medvedev D.[2]
Tsitsipas S.[4]
7-654-66-46-1
Nadal R.[6]
Berrettini M.[7]
6-36-23-66-3
Quarter-finals
Berrettini M.[7]
Monfils G.[17]
6-46-43-63-66-2
Nadal R.[6]
Shapovalov D.[14]
6-36-44-63-66-3
Tsitsipas S.[4]
Sinner J.[11]
6-36-46-2
Medvedev D.[2]
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
6-743-67-627-56-4
R16
Nadal R.[6]
Mannarino A.
7-6146-26-2
Monfils G.[17]
Kecmanovic M.
7-57-646-3
Berrettini M.[7]
Carreno Busta P.[19]
7-57-646-4
Shapovalov D.[14]
Zverev A.[3]
6-37-656-3
Sinner J.[11]
De Minaur A.[32]
7-636-36-4
Tsitsipas S.[4]
Fritz T.[20]
4-66-44-66-36-4
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Cilic M.[27]
2-67-676-27-64
Medvedev D.[2]
Cressy M.
6-27-646-747-5
R32
Carreno Busta P.[19]
Korda S.
6-47-56-766-3
Kecmanovic M.
Sonego L.[25]
6-46-786-27-5
Monfils G.[17]
Garin C.[16]
7-646-16-3
Berrettini M.[7]
Alcaraz C.[31]
6-27-634-62-67-65
Zverev A.[3]
Albot R.
6-36-46-4
Shapovalov D.[14]
Opelka R.[23]
7-644-66-36-4
Mannarino A.
Karatsev A.[18]
7-646-747-56-4
Nadal R.[6]
Khachanov K.[28]
6-36-23-66-1
De Minaur A.[32]
Andujar P.
6-46-46-2
Sinner J.[11]
Daniel T.
6-41-66-36-1
Fritz T.[20]
Bautista Agut R.[15]
6-03-63-66-46-3
Tsitsipas S.[4]
Paire B.
6-37-56-726-4
Cilic M.[27]
Rublev A.[5]
7-57-633-66-3
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Evans D.[24]
6-46-16-1
Cressy M.
Oconnell C.
6-26-766-36-2
Medvedev D.[2]
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-46-46-2
R64
Evans D.[24]
Rinderknech A.
W/O
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Davidovich Fokina A.
7-646-747-657-64
Van De Zandschulp B.
Gasquet R.
4-66-04-0
Bautista Agut R.[15]
Kohlschreiber P.
6-16-06-3
Nadal R.[6]
Hanfmann Y.
6-26-36-4
Daniel T.
Murray A.
6-46-46-4
Paire B.
Dimitrov G.[26]
6-46-46-747-62
Khachanov K.[28]
Bonzi B.
6-46-07-5
Sonego L.[25]
Otte O.
2-66-26-36-1
Andujar P.
Molcan A.
6-47-660-66-1
Zverev A.[3]
Millman J.
6-46-46-0
Kecmanovic M.
Paul T.
7-677-57-68
Monfils G.[17]
Bublik A.
6-16-06-4
Garin C.[16]
Martinez P.
6-717-642-66-26-2
Korda S.
Moutet C.
3-66-46-727-57-66
Carreno Busta P.[19]
Griekspoor T.
6-36-767-633-66-4
Alcaraz C.[31]
Lajovic D.
6-26-17-5
Berrettini M.[7]
Kozlov S.
6-14-66-46-1
Albot R.
Vukic A.
6-47-646-4
Opelka R.[23]
Koepfer D.
6-46-37-64
Shapovalov D.[14]
Kwon S.
7-666-736-767-56-2
Mannarino A.
Hurkacz H.[10]
6-46-26-3
Karatsev A.[18]
Mcdonald M.
3-66-26-26-3
De Minaur A.[32]
Majchrzak K.
6-46-46-2
Sinner J.[11]
Johnson S.
6-26-46-3
Fritz T.[20]
Tiafoe F.
6-46-37-65
Tsitsipas S.[4]
Baez S.
7-616-756-36-4
Rublev A.[5]
Berankis R.
6-46-26-0
Cilic M.[27]
Gombos N.
6-26-33-67-66
Oconnell C.
Schwartzman D.[13]
7-666-46-4
Cressy M.
Machac T.
6-13-66-17-65
Medvedev D.[2]
Kyrgios N.
7-616-44-66-2
R128
Millman J.
Lopez F.
6-16-34-67-5
Johnson S.
Thompson J.
7-656-764-66-36-3
Kecmanovic M.
Caruso S.
6-46-26-1
Vukic A.
Harris L.[30]
4-66-37-57-63
Gombos N.
Skatov T.
6-36-21-66-4
Gasquet R.
Humbert U.[29]
3-67-647-636-3
Opelka R.[23]
Anderson K.
6-36-47-63
Martinez P.
Delbonis F.
7-6153-66-46-2
Majchrzak K.
Seppi A.
6-16-17-5
Paul T.
Kukushkin M.
6-36-46-2
Otte O.
Tseng C.
6-46-36-2
Sonego L.[25]
Querrey S.
7-56-36-3
Monfils G.[17]
Coria F.
6-16-16-3
Bublik A.
Escobedo E.
3-67-656-36-3
Garin C.[16]
Bagnis F.
6-36-45-76-746-3
Korda S.
Norrie C.[12]
6-36-06-4
Moutet C.
Pouille L.
3-66-36-46-3
Griekspoor T.
Fognini F.
6-16-46-4
Carreno Busta P.[19]
Etcheverry T.
6-16-27-62
Alcaraz C.[31]
Tabilo A.
6-26-26-3
Lajovic D.
Fucsovics M.
6-34-66-16-766-1
Kozlov S.
Vesely J.
7-56-36-4
Berrettini M.[7]
Nakashima B.
4-66-27-656-3
Zverev A.[3]
Altmaier D.
7-636-17-61
Albot R.
Nishioka Y.
6-36-44-66-2
Koepfer D.
Taberner C.
6-13-66-46-1
Kwon S.
Rune H.
3-66-43-66-36-2
Shapovalov D.[14]
Djere L.
7-636-43-67-63
Hurkacz H.[10]
Gerasimov E.
6-27-636-756-3
Mannarino A.
Duckworth J.
6-42-63-66-26-1
Mcdonald M.
Milojevic N.
5-76-46-36-2
Karatsev A.[18]
Munar J.
3-67-616-736-46-4
Khachanov K.[28]
Kudla D.
3-66-36-27-62
Bonzi B.
Gojowczyk P.
6-36-36-3
Hanfmann Y.
Kokkinakis T.
6-26-36-2
Nadal R.[6]
Giron M.
6-16-46-2
Molcan A.
Safiullin R.
6-37-695-77-66
Andujar P.
Dzumhur D.
6-17-56-1
De Minaur A.[32]
Musetti L.
3-66-36-06-3
Murray A.
Basilashvili N.[21]
6-13-66-46-756-4
Daniel T.
Barrios Vera T.
7-656-16-1
Sinner J.[11]
Sousa J.
6-47-56-1
Bautista Agut R.[15]
Travaglia S.
7-626-45-76-1
Kohlschreiber P.
Cecchinato M.
6-47-57-60
Tiafoe F.
Trungelliti M.
3-66-46-23-66-3
Fritz T.[20]
Marterer M.
7-686-36-2
Dimitrov G.[26]
Lehecka J.
6-44-66-37-5
Paire B.
Monteiro T.
6-43-67-52-67-5
Baez S.
Ramos A.
6-44-66-31-66-2
Tsitsipas S.[4]
Ymer M.
6-26-46-3
Rublev A.[5]
Mager G.
6-36-26-2
Berankis R.
Carballes Baena R.
6-13-62-66-36-4
Cilic M.[27]
Gomez E.
6-36-16-2
Evans D.[24]
Goffin D.
6-46-36-0
Rinderknech A.
Popyrin A.
7-54-66-23-66-3
Davidovich Fokina A.
Bolt A.
6-36-36-4
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Ruusuvuori E.
6-40-63-66-36-4
Schwartzman D.[13]
Krajinovic F.
6-36-47-5
Machac T.
Cerundolo J.
6-32-66-46-2
Van De Zandschulp B.
Struff J.
6-46-36-2
Kyrgios N.
Broady L.
6-46-46-3
Medvedev D.[2]
Laaksonen H.
6-16-47-63
Oconnell C.
Gaston H.
7-646-04-66-1
Cressy M.
Isner J.[22]
7-627-56-746-746-4