Andrey Rublev vs Marin CilicCincinnati Masters Round of 32

Cincinnati Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#13ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 16 August 2021
hard
#62ATP
1800ELO
1762Hard ELO
$776kYTD
$33MCAREER
37 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLLWL
Rublev A.
5-7 6-3 6-1
Cilic M.
Rublev A.
5662
Cilic M.
7311

Andrey Rublev defeated Marin Cilic 5-7 6-3 6-1 in the Cincinnati Masters round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Andrey Rublev came in ranked #13, defending last year's round of 64. Andrey Rublev extended the head-to-head to 4–3.

Key context

Head to head

33
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-05-23Roland GarrosQFclayMarin Cilic5-7 6-3 6-4 3-6 7-6(2)
2022-01-17Australian OpenR32hardMarin Cilic7-5 7-6(3) 3-6 6-3
2021-03-22Miami MastersR16hardAndrey Rublev6-4 6-4
2019-10-14MoscowSFhardAndrey Rublev7-5 6-4
2019-03-18Miami MastersR64hardAndrey Rublev6-4 6-4
2015-05-17GenevaR16clayMarin Cilic4-6 7-6(7) 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Rublev A.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Cilic M.

Cilic M.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rublev A.Cilic M.
55
Serve
57
52
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
78%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
50%
Service points won·Even
67%
66%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Even
66%
66%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.9
10.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.5
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 191). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
89
76
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Dominant
72
41
Deciding sets·Even
97
94
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
92
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.9+87 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Hard Elo 1762
5.9Overall Elo 1902
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1800
10.0
H2H
0.0
5.6
Surface form
5.8
Fatigue & Travel
8.1
Minutes 14d
7.4
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
5.5
Country comfort
6.1
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
93
97

Rublev A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Cilic M.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°CDrizzle
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 86%