Aslan Karatsev vs Lorenzo SonegoSydney Quarter-final

Sydney · ATP · Quarter-final
#1285ATP
32 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 10 January 2022
hard
#83ATP
1719ELO
1702Hard ELO
$435kYTD
$9.8MCAREER
31 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLWLLWL
Karatsev A.
6-2 3-6 6-2
Sonego L.
Karatsev A.
6362
Sonego L.
2621

Aslan Karatsev defeated Lorenzo Sonego 6-2 3-6 6-2 in the Sydney quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Lorenzo Sonego came in ranked #83. Aslan Karatsev extended the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Aslan Karatsev closed it out in three sets, 6–2 3–6 6–2.

Head to head

22
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-06-19HalleR32grassLorenzo Sonego6-2 3-6 6-2
2022-09-19MetzR32hardLorenzo Sonego7-5 6-3
2022-07-11BastadR32clayAslan Karatsev6-0 2-6 6-4
2021-03-15DubaiR16hardAslan Karatsev3-6 6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Karatsev A.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Sonego L.

Sonego L.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Karatsev A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Karatsev A.Sonego L.
Serve
41
Return
38

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
52%
Service points won·Even
63%
66%
Return points won·Even
37%
34%
Break points saved·Even
61%
64%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.0
6.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.5
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (158 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
43
69
Break points saved·Slight edge
94
99
Break points won·Slight edge
39
45
Deciding sets·Dominant
37
71
Tiebreaks·Dominant
40
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Extended break: 70 days (−1.2)
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Extended break: 42 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.9
Surface form
4.9
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
70

Sonego L.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast