Aslan Karatsev vs Lorenzo Sonego — Dubai Round of 16

Dubai · ATP · Round of 16
RUS
Aslan Karatsev
#1285ATP
32 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 15 March 2021
hard
Lorenzo Sonego
ITA17
Lorenzo Sonego
#83ATP
1719ELO
1702Hard ELO
$435kYTD
$9.8MCAREER
31 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLWLLWL
Karatsev A.
3-6 6-3 6-4
Sonego L.
Karatsev A.
3662
Sonego L.
6341

Aslan Karatsev defeated Lorenzo Sonego 3-6 6-3 6-4 in the Dubai round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Lorenzo Sonego came in ranked #83. Aslan Karatsev extended the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

2–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-06-19HalleR32grassLorenzo Sonego6-2 3-6 6-2
2022-09-19MetzR32hardLorenzo Sonego7-5 6-3
2022-07-11BastadR32clayAslan Karatsev6-0 2-6 6-4
2022-01-10SydneyQFhardAslan Karatsev6-2 3-6 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Karatsev A.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Sonego L.

Sonego L.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Karatsev A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Karatsev A.Sonego L.
—
Serve
41
—
Return
38

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Karatsev A.Sonego L.
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Even
63%
66%
Return points won·Even
37%
34%
Break points saved·Even
61%
64%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.8
6.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.3
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Karatsev A.Sonego L.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
43
69
Break points saved·Slight edge
94
99
Break points won·Slight edge
39
45
Deciding sets·Dominant
37
71
Tiebreaks·Dominant
41
88

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Karatsev A.Sonego L.
Freshness·
—
79

Sonego L.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
24°CPartly cloudy
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 57%
Final
Karatsev A.
Harris L.
6-36-2
Semi-finals
Karatsev A.
Rublev A.[2]
6-24-66-4
Harris L.
Shapovalov D.[3]
6-756-47-66
Quarter-finals
Rublev A.[2]
Fucsovics M.
7-56-2
Karatsev A.
Sinner J.[16]
6-756-36-2
Shapovalov D.[3]
Chardy J.
7-56-4
Harris L.
Nishikori K.
6-13-66-3
R16
Rublev A.[2]
Fritz T.[15]
6-36-1
Fucsovics M.
Lajovic D.[11]
6-14-66-4
Sinner J.[16]
Bautista Agut R.[4]
6-43-67-5
Karatsev A.
Sonego L.[17]
3-66-36-4
Chardy J.
Khachanov K.[8]
6-736-46-4
Shapovalov D.[3]
Hurkacz H.[13]
6-46-3
Nishikori K.
Bedene A.
6-46-4
Harris L.
Krajinovic F.[14]
7-656-4
R32
Bautista Agut R.[4]
Ebden M.
4-1
Sinner J.[16]
Bublik A.
2-67-626-4
Karatsev A.
Evans D.[12]
6-44-66-4
Rublev A.[2]
Ruusuvuori E.
6-46-4
Fritz T.[15]
Basilashvili N.
4-66-37-64
Sonego L.[17]
Zapata Miralles B.
6-26-2
Fucsovics M.
Carreno Busta P.[6]
6-756-36-2
Khachanov K.[8]
Popyrin A.
6-43-67-64
Chardy J.
De Minaur A.[9]
2-66-36-4
Nishikori K.
Goffin D.[5]
6-37-63
Bedene A.
Giustino L.
6-46-3
Krajinovic F.[14]
Davidovich Fokina A.
7-56-4
Lajovic D.[11]
Jaziri M.
7-56-2
Hurkacz H.[13]
Gasquet R.
6-36-4
Shapovalov D.[3]
Struff J.
6-16-3
Harris L.
Thiem D.[1]
6-36-4
R64
Jaziri M.
Tsonga J.
3-3
Ruusuvuori E.
Thompson J.
6-37-65
Fucsovics M.
Pospisil V.
2-67-56-4
Bublik A.
Nishioka Y.
6-47-64
Karatsev A.
Gerasimov E.
6-46-4
Zapata Miralles B.
Millman J.
6-46-4
Popyrin A.
Novak D.
7-637-5
Chardy J.
Ramos A.
6-33-66-4
Gasquet R.
Cecchinato M.
6-46-2
Struff J.
Kukushkin M.
6-36-2
Nishikori K.
Opelka R.
3-66-36-4
Bedene A.
Bhambri Y.
3-66-16-4
Davidovich Fokina A.
Albot R.
6-46-4
Harris L.
Oconnell C.
6-756-46-1